Technical Review Panel on the Medicare Trustees Report: September 7-8, 2000

12/01/2000

Third Meeting:

Thursday, September 7, 9:00 am to 5:00 pm
Friday, September 8, 9:00 am to 1:00 pm

Where:

Health Care Financing Administration(now known as Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services(CMS)) (HCFA(now known as CMS)) Headquarters
Conference Center, Room C-112
7500 Security Boulevard
Baltimore, Maryland

Click here for directions to HCFA(now known as CMS), a map of the campus, and parking information.

Click here for minutes from the meeting.

AGENDA

September 7

9:00 - 9:05 a.m. Convene meeting
   Ariel Winter
   Executive Director, Technical Review Panel

9:05 - 9:10  Welcome
   Richard S. Foster
   Chief Actuary, Health Care Financing Administration(now known as Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services(CMS))

9:10 - 9:15  Welcome and Approval of Minutes from June 28-29 Meeting
   Dale Yamamoto
   Chair, Technical Review Panel

9:15 - 10:30   Subgroup 1: Medicare Assumptions
   Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
   David Cutler
   Member, Technical Review Panel

10:30 - 10:45  Break

10:45 - 12:00 p.m. Subgroup 2: Projection Methodology
   Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
   James Robinson and Michael Chernew
   Members, Technical Review Panel

12:00 - 1:00   Lunch

1:00 - 2:15   Subgroup 3: Long-Range Growth Assumptions
   Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
   Michael Chernew, David Cutler, and Sam Gutterman
   Members, Technical Review Panel

2:15 - 3:30   Subgroup 4: Uncertainty/Stochastic Forecasting
   Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
   Sam Gutterman, James Robinson, and Len Nichols
   Members, Technical Review Panel

3:30 - 3:40  Break

3:40 - 4:55  Subgroup 5: Presentation Issues/Research and Data
   Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
   Len Nichols
   Member, Technical Review Panel

4:55 - 5:00  Public Comment Period

5:00   Adjourn

September 8

9:00 - 9:45 a.m. Presentation on Long-term Interindustry Forecast Tool (LIFT)
   Office of the Actuary and University of Maryland

9:45 - 11:00  Presentation by Congressional Budget Office on Social Security and Medicare Modeling

11:00 - 11:15  Break

11:15 - 12:15 p.m. Presentation by Bruce Schobel, American Academy of Actuaries

12:15 - 12:55  Panel Discussion of Subgroups and Next Steps

12:55 - 1:00  Public Comment Period

1:00   Adjourn

THE NEXT TECHNICAL PANEL MEETING IS SCHEDULED FOR OCTOBER 11-12, 2000