Source: TRIM3, HIPSM 2012. Notes: Assumes that all states expand Medicaid eligibility for adults to 138 percent FPL. Eligibility for Medicaid and CHIP includes children’s pre-ACA categories above 138 percent FPL. Proxy measure for newly eligible adults includes childless adults up to 138 percent FPL and parents with incomes between 63 percent FPL, the income-eligibility threshold for working adults in the median pre-ACA state, and 138 percent FPL. Estimates do not include people with disabilities who receive Medicare. Child care and WIC estimates include immediate family members of recipients. Unemployment insurance and EITC estimates are for potential eligibility and eligibility, respectively; other human services program estimates are for receipt. For more information about our methodology, see Appendix III.