Modeling & Simulation

This report provides welfare dependence indicators through 2019 for most indicators and through 2020 for other indicators, reflecting changes that have taken place since enactment of the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA) in 1996.

People facing economic instability often need more than one program or service. This pre-pandemic analysis looks at the reach of the social safety net, including the interaction of specific programs, to better understand program participation as the economy continues to recover. Key Points:

This study updates ASPE’s previous analysis of the associations between COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths among Medicare beneficiaries and COVID-19 vaccination rates, with full year data through the end of 2021.

This Brief presents information about the risk of needing care and associated costs to provide content for policymakers and others considering long-term care financing proposals. It revises a brief that was written in October 2020.

This factsheet provides descriptive information on child care eligibility and receipt. Of the 12.5 million children potentially eligible for child care subsidies under federal rules, 16 percent received subsidies. Of the 8.7 million children eligible for child care subsidies under more restrictive state rules, 23 percent received subsidies.

Risk of Economic Hardship Among Older Adults ASPE ISSUE BRIEF Richard W. Johnson and Melissa M. Favreault Urban Institute Judith Dey, William Marton, and Lauren Anderson

Most Older Adults Are Likely to Need and Use Long-Term Services and Supports ASPE ISSUE BRIEF Richard W. Johnson and Melissa M. Favreault Urban Institute Judith Dey, William Marton, and Lauren Anderson

Extended LTSS Utilization Makes Older Adults More Reliant on Medicaid Issue Brief ASPE ISSUE BRIEF Richard W. Johnson and Melissa M. Favreault Urban Institute Judith Dey, William Marton, and Lauren Anderson

Richard W. Johnson and Melissa M. Favreault Urban Institute January 2021 Link to Printer Friendly Version in PDF Format (50 PDF pages)

Since the early 1970s, the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation (ASPE) has used the Transfer Income Model (TRIM) to assess how social welfare programs affect family incomes and poverty. TRIM began as a tool to analyze proposed reforms to the nation’s cash welfare program during the Nixon administration.