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This work describes discharges from foster care, with a focus on those exits that are accomplished by reunifying the foster child with his or her family of origin. The data presented cover a time period from 1990 through 1997. Child welfare practice has undergone substantial change since the mid-1990s. Some changes are due to new federal legislation, such as the Adoption and Safe Families Act of 1997. Others result from policy and practice reform at the state and local levels. As a result, the size and dynamics of current-day foster care caseloads in some states already differ substantially from their experience during the early and mid-1990's. The information that follows provides a description of exits from foster care, based on actual records of child histories in care. It is intended to be used as a baseline against which current and future patterns of exit from foster care can be measured and evaluated.
The tables presented include foster care exit dynamics for nine states: Alabama, California, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, New Mexico, New York, and Wisconsin. The data for these analyses is drawn from the Multistate Foster Care Data Archive at the Chapin Hall Center for Children. The Archive was created with individual level records extracted from the automated administrative tracking systems of each state's public child welfare agency and supplied by the states to Chapin Hall for analytic purposes.
The universe for this analysis includes all episodes of child placement in substitute care arrangements that began during the years 1990 through 1997.(1) Each episode (or spell in placement) is tracked either until the child exits from foster care or until the end of 1997. If the child entered care more than once between 1990 and 1997, each spell is retained as a separate event.
Many findings are pooled across all nine states to reveal general trends and patterns. Because these nine states combined contain well over half of the nation's foster care population, observations based on these data should be useful for describing relationships at the national level. However, these data should not be considered as fully representative of the national foster care population, and these nine states are not a representative sample of all state child welfare systems.
This document describes the table contents and figures (located at the end of the document), and highlights some of the patterns and findings observed within them. The discussion of the first table also introduces and describes most of the variables that are used throughout the analysis.
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In order to understand patterns of reunification from foster care, it is useful to consider reunification in the context of all exits from care, and in the context of the individual characteristics and the case histories of the children involved.(2) Table IIA.1 presents an overview of exits from foster care. The left side of the table contains counts of spells by type of exit, classified first by state, then by four child characteristics, and finally by each of four case characteristics. This series of two-way tables is based on a universe of 404,416 distinct spells in foster care. These are all spells that began with a foster placement between 1990-94 in any of the nine states, and are enumerated in the first column, labeled "All Entries. These spells are each tracked until the child is discharged from foster care or through the end of 1997. So the potential period of observation is at least three years (for children who entered care at the end of 1994), and at most eight years (for children who entered care at the start of 1990.
The second column, labeled "No Exit, Still in Care," indicates how many of these spells were still open at the end of 1997. Just under one-fifth (75,199 or 18.6%) of the children who entered care between 1990 and 1994 remained in care through the end of observation. It is important, to note that exits from some long-term stays in care are not observed and are not reported in this table, so that the completed duration and the eventual discharge destination at exit for these spells are censored from this analysis. However, we do know that all of these censored spells, by definition, have a duration of three years or more, and as will be seen, reunification is a fairly rare outcome after three years. Therefore, we assume that these censored spells would probably add little new information to most of this reunification analysis. However, it should be noted that exits from stays of over three years are incompletely described in these tables. The proportion still in care is computed against a base of all entries.
The exit distribution is presented with six categories for destination at exit:
Looking at the first row of Table IIA. I , we see that of the 404,416 spells observed, 187,406 ended with a family reunification. There were also 23,398 exits to other relatives, 38,291 completed adoptions, 9,583 children "aging out" of care, 23,635 runaways, and 46,904 spells that exited to "other" destinations. On the right side of the table, each exit type is presented as a proportion of all observed exits. Therefore, the statistic reporting that the proportion of reunification spells for all nine states combined is .569 should be interpreted as meaning that 56.9 percent of all spells where an exit was observed were exits by reunification.
During the period of observation, the majority of exits (57%) were achieved through family reunification. Of the remainder, 7 percent were to relatives, 12 percent via adoption, 3 percent reached majority, 7 percent involved runaways from care, and 14 percent were in the "other" category. This exit distribution for the spells from the pooled nine-state data provides a yardstick against which the distributions for each state or subgroup will be compared.
It is important to note that the distributions presented in Table IIA. I describe each type of exit as a proportion of all observed exits, not as a proportion of all entries. If the 9-state reunification statistic (.569) were recomputed as a proportion of all spells, we would see that 46.3 percent of all entry spells were observed to end in reunification by the end of 1997. This latter statistic is usually what would be considered as a reunification rate, in that it describes the likelihood of reunification for an entire population at risk. The difference between the two measures is caused by spells where an exit is not observed. The relationship of these statistics is presented in Figure A. Here, we can see that the reunification rate (reunifications/entries) can be described as the product of a) the likelihood of exit (exits/entries), and b) the likelihood that an exit is by reunification (reunifications/exits). Alabama has one of the highest exit rates, so the low reunification rate must be interpreted in the context of knowing that many children exit foster care in other ways. In contrast, the low reunification rate in Illinois must be understood in the context of low overall exit rates -- as relatively few children leave foster care to other destinations.(3)
| Counts | Proportion of Entries | Proportion of Exits | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Entries | No Exit | Exit Type | No Exit | Exit Type | |||||||||||
| Still in Care | Reunify | Relative Care | Adopt | Reach Majority | Run Away | Other Exit | Still in Care | Reunify | Relative Care | Adopt | Reach Majority | Run Away | Other Exit | ||
| State | |||||||||||||||
| Alabama | 9,224 | 774 | 2,423 | 2,668 | 454 | 50 | 269 | 2,586 | 0.084 | 0.287 | 0.316 | 0.054 | 0.006 | 0.032 | 0.306 |
| California | 143,973 | 30,944 | 75,910 | 2,838 | 10,571 | 4,181 | 6,351 | 13,178 | 0.215 | 0.672 | 0.025 | 0.094 | 0.037 | 0.056 | 0.117 |
| Illinois | 56,354 | 20,767 | 17,661 | 915 | 5,506 | 684 | 4,475 | 6,346 | 0.369 | 0.496 | 0.026 | 0.155 | 0.019 | 0.126 | 0.178 |
| Maryland | 14,003 | 2,512 | 5,155 | 2,346 | 1,629 | 676 | 401 | 1,284 | 0.179 | 0.449 | 0.204 | 0.142 | 0.059 | 0.035 | 0.112 |
| Michigan | 31,537 | 1,750 | 14,442 | 3,074 | 5,734 | 619 | 1,264 | 4,654 | 0.055 | 0.485 | 0.103 | 0.193 | 0.021 | 0.042 | 0.156 |
| Missouri | 22,629 | 2,315 | 10,732 | 983 | 2,457 | 390 | 1,204 | 4,548 | 0.102 | 0.528 | 0.048 | 0.121 | 0.019 | 0.059 | 0.224 |
| New Mexico | 5,889 | 275 | 3,342 | 448 | 553 | 172 | 344 | 755 | 0.047 | 0.595 | 0.080 | 0.099 | 0.031 | 0.061 | 0.134 |
| New York | 94,758 | 13,474 | 41,949 | 8,528 | 9,854 | 1,806 | 8,064 | 11,083 | 0.142 | 0.516 | 0.105 | 0.121 | 0.022 | 0.099 | 0.136 |
| Wisconsin | 26,049 | 2,388 | 15,792 | 1,598 | 1,533 | 1,005 | 1,263 | 2,470 | 0.092 | 0.667 | 0.068 | 0.065 | 0.042 | 0.053 | 0.104 |
| Nine State Total | 404,416 | 75,199 | 187,406 | 23,398 | 38,291 | 9,583 | 23,635 | 46,904 | 0.186 | 0.569 | 0.071 | 0.116 | 0.029 | 0.072 | 0.142 |
Child Characteristics |
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Age at Entry |
|||||||||||||||
| < 3 mos. | 51,521 | 13,215 | 15,095 | 2,772 | 15,492 | 0 | 0 | 4,947 | 0.256 | 0.394 | 0.072 | 0.404 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.129 |
| 3-11 mos. | 31,028 | 6,835 | 13,733 | 2,060 | 5,161 | 0 | 0 | 3,239 | 0.220 | 0.568 | 0.085 | 0.213 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.134 |
| 1 to 2 yrs. | 57,188 | 13,032 | 28,155 | 3,773 | 6,835 | 0 | 0 | 5,393 | 0.228 | 0.638 | 0.085 | 0.155 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.122 |
| 3 to 5 | 61,649 | 15,148 | 31,406 | 3,897 | 5,525 | 0 | 9 | 5,664 | 0.246 | 0.675 | 0.084 | 0.119 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.122 |
| 6 to 8 | 46,372 | 11,556 | 24,199 | 2,924 | 3,036 | 0 | 209 | 4,448 | 0.249 | 0.695 | 0.084 | 0.087 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.128 |
| 9 to 11 | 40,943 | 8,822 | 21,637 | 2,545 | 1,514 | 165 | 1,817 | 4,443 | 0.215 | 0.674 | 0.079 | 0.047 | 0.005 | 0.057 | 0.138 |
| 12 to 14 | 62,742 | 5,498 | 31,067 | 3,315 | 601 | 2,294 | 10,611 | 9,356 | 0.088 | 0.543 | 0.058 | 0.010 | 0.040 | 0.185 | 0.163 |
| 15 to 17 | 52,973 | 1,093 | 22,114 | 2,112 | 127 | 7,124 | 10,989 | 9,414 | 0.021 | 0.426 | 0.041 | 0.002 | 0.137 | 0.212 | 0.181 |
Age at Exit |
|||||||||||||||
| 0 years | 20,487 | 0 | 13,813 | 2,558 | 1,217 | 0 | 0 | 2,899 | 0.000 | 0.674 | 0.125 | 0.059 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.142 |
| 1 to 2 | 47,325 | 0 | 29,317 | 4,090 | 8,375 | 0 | 0 | 5,543 | 0.000 | 0.619 | 0.086 | 0.177 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.117 |
| 3 to 5 | 80,501 | 17,848 | 35,440 | 4,578 | 15,529 | 0 | 0 | 7,106 | 0.222 | 0.566 | 0.073 | 0.248 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.113 |
| 6 to 8 | 62,543 | 20,868 | 26,189 | 3,160 | 7,041 | 0 | 0 | 5,285 | 0.334 | 0.628 | 0.076 | 0.169 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.127 |
| 9 to 11 | 46,650 | 13,449 | 22,288 | 2,592 | 3,484 | 0 | 359 | 4,478 | 0.288 | 0.671 | 0.078 | 0.105 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.135 |
| 12 to 14 | 58,176 | 10,620 | 27,935 | 3,101 | 1,883 | 59 | 7,220 | 7,358 | 0.183 | 0.587 | 0.065 | 0.040 | 0.001 | 0.152 | 0.155 |
| 15 to 17 | 69,444 | 8,747 | 30,330 | 3,016 | 682 | 1,960 | 14,573 | 10,136 | 0.126 | 0.500 | 0.050 | 0.011 | 0.032 | 0.240 | 0.167 |
| Over 17 yrs | 19,290 | 3,667 | 2,094 | 303 | 80 | 7,564 | 1,483 | 4,099 | 0.190 | 0.134 | 0.019 | 0.005 | 0.484 | 0.095 | 0.262 |
Gender |
|||||||||||||||
| Female | 207,204 | 37,079 | 95,132 | 12,124 | 18,895 | 6,095 | 14,803 | 23,076 | 0.179 | 0.559 | 0.071 | 0.111 | 0.036 | 0.087 | 0.136 |
| Male | 197,212 | 38,120 | 92,274 | 11,274 | 19,396 | 3,488 | 8,832 | 23,828 | 0.193 | 0.580 | 0.071 | 0.122 | 0.022 | 0.056 | 0.150 |
Race/Ethnicity |
|||||||||||||||
| African American | 161,625 | 44,281 | 59,368 | 11,302 | 16,070 | 2,794 | 9,057 | 18,753 | 0.274 | 0.506 | 0.096 | 0.137 | 0.024 | 0.077 | 0.160 |
| Hispanic | 61,343 | 11,049 | 32,146 | 2,544 | 4,301 | 1,381 | 4,046 | 5,876 | 0.180 | 0.639 | 0.051 | 0.086 | 0.027 | 0.080 | 0.117 |
| Other | 31,480 | 4,167 | 14,730 | 2,367 | 2,866 | 795 | 2,683 | 3,872 | 0.132 | 0.539 | 0.087 | 0.105 | 0.029 | 0.098 | 0.142 |
| White | 149,968 | 15,702 | 81,162 | 7,185 | 15,054 | 4,613 | 7,849 | 18,403 | 0.105 | 0.604 | 0.054 | 0.112 | 0.034 | 0.058 | 0.137 |
Case Characteristics |
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Spell Sequence |
|||||||||||||||
| First Spell | 352,029 | 67,390 | 166,035 | 20,842 | 34,935 | 7,833 | 15,624 | 39,370 | 0.191 | 0.583 | 0.073 | 0.123 | 0.028 | 0.055 | 0.138 |
| Reentry Spell | 52,387 | 7,809 | 21,371 | 2,556 | 3,356 | 1,750 | 8,011 | 7,534 | 0.149 | 0.479 | 0.057 | 0.075 | 0.039 | 0.180 | 0.169 |
Duration |
|||||||||||||||
| < 1 mo | 49,767 | 0 | 34,820 | 5,027 | 271 | 90 | 4,048 | 5,511 | 0.000 | 0.700 | 0.101 | 0.005 | 0.002 | 0.081 | 0.111 |
| 1 to 3 months | 46,432 | 0 | 30,905 | 4,336 | 510 | 216 | 4,297 | 6,168 | 0.000 | 0.666 | 0.093 | 0.011 | 0.005 | 0.093 | 0.133 |
| 4 to 6 months | 35,492 | 0 | 23,517 | 2,862 | 459 | 334 | 3,309 | 5,011 | 0.000 | 0.663 | 0.081 | 0.013 | 0.009 | 0.093 | 0.141 |
| 6 mos to 1 year | 48,657 | 0 | 33,358 | 3,197 | 1,706 | 872 | 3,661 | 5,863 | 0.000 | 0.686 | 0.066 | 0.035 | 0.018 | 0.075 | 0.120 |
| 1 year to 18 mos | 36,557 | 0 | 24,329 | 2,210 | 2,170 | 1,041 | 2,165 | 4,642 | 0.000 | 0.666 | 0.060 | 0.059 | 0.028 | 0.059 | 0.127 |
| 18 mos to 2 year | 26,752 | 0 | 15,077 | 1,655 | 3,141 | 1,097 | 1,529 | 4,253 | 0.000 | 0.564 | 0.062 | 0.117 | 0.041 | 0.057 | 0.159 |
| 2 to 3 year | 36,103 | 0 | 14,327 | 2,040 | 9,777 | 1,948 | 2,098 | 5,913 | 0.000 | 0.397 | 0.057 | 0.271 | 0.054 | 0.058 | 0.164 |
| 3 years + | 124,656 | 75,199 | 11,073 | 2,071 | 20,257 | 3,985 | 2,528 | 9,543 | 0.603 | 0.224 | 0.042 | 0.410 | 0.081 | 0.051 | 0.193 |
Placement Type |
|||||||||||||||
| Congregate Care | 64,836 | 4,602 | 30,990 | 3,529 | 739 | 2,195 | 11,932 | 10,849 | 0.071 | 0.514 | 0.059 | 0.012 | 0.036 | 0.198 | 0.180 |
| Foster Care | 214,991 | 31,805 | 103,302 | 14,303 | 30,038 | 4,955 | 8,029 | 22,559 | 0.148 | 0.564 | 0.078 | 0.164 | 0.027 | 0.044 | 0.123 |
| Kinship Care | 108,750 | 35,027 | 46,611 | 5,084 | 6,738 | 1,478 | 2,356 | 11,456 | 0.322 | 0.632 | 0.069 | 0.091 | 0.020 | 0.032 | 0.155 |
| Mixed Type | 15,839 | 3,765 | 6,503 | 482 | 776 | 955 | 1,318 | 2,040 | 0.238 | 0.539 | 0.040 | 0.064 | 0.079 | 0.109 | 0.169 |
Placement Stability |
|||||||||||||||
| 1 placement | 207,134 | 22,650 | 117,125 | 14,699 | 12,216 | 3,958 | 11,212 | 25,274 | 0.109 | 0.635 | 0.080 | 0.066 | 0.021 | 0.061 | 0.137 |
| 2 placements | 97,561 | 18,850 | 42,557 | 5,317 | 12,391 | 2,260 | 5,284 | 10,902 | 0.193 | 0.541 | 0.068 | 0.157 | 0.029 | 0.067 | 0.139 |
| 3-4 placements | 66,504 | 19,090 | 21,272 | 2,688 | 9,981 | 2,025 | 4,161 | 7,287 | 0.287 | 0.449 | 0.057 | 0.211 | 0.043 | 0.088 | 0.154 |
| 5+ placements | 33,217 | 14,609 | 6,452 | 694 | 3,703 | 1,340 | 2,978 | 3,441 | 0.440 | 0.347 | 0.037 | 0.199 | 0.072 | 0.160 | 0.185 |
Figure A
Likelihood of Reunification from Foster Care Components of Reunification
Rates
The proportions in Figure A.1 report the likelihood that a child or
youth entering foster care between 1990 and 1994 exited before 1998 via
reunification with their family.
One decomposition of the proportions in Figure A.1 is represented
in Figure A.2, which presents the likelihood of any exit from care and the
proportion of exits that are achieved via reunification. Mathematically,
the likelihood of reunification is the product of these two separate proportions.
Individually, the nine states present very different patterns of exit distribution from foster care. Illinois and California had the largest proportion of children remaining in care, which meant that they had the greatest share of long duration foster spells. Over one-third of the spells in Illinois and one-fifth of the spells in California had not been completed by the end of 1997. By contrast, in five states (Alabama, Michigan, Missouri, New Mexico, and Wisconsin) only one tenth or fewer of all spells remained open in 1997. To the extent that reunification is related to the length-of-stay in foster care, this is a very significant dynamic to remember during this analysis.
Reunification levels differ by state -- from 28.7 percent of exits in Alabama to 67.2 percent in California and 66.7 percent in Wisconsin. In the other six states, 45-60 percent of all foster care exits were family reunification. This state-to-state variation in the use of reunification to end episodes of foster care placement is substantial. Alabama is a clear outlier, with far lower proportions of reunification exits than any of the other states, but the reunification levels among the remaining eight states still vary widely, from 45 percent to 67 percent of observed exits.
Exits to relatives also differ widely among states. Alabama and Maryland reported the most family discharges (31.6% and 20.4%), while California and Illinois each reported less than 3 percent family exits.(4) This is a difficult category to interpret, because it represents differences in foster care practice and in state data definitions. The child welfare agencies in Alabama and Maryland tended to use strategies that supported kinship placements outside of the formal foster care system, while California, Illinois and New York placed a substantial number of foster children in kinship arrangements within the foster care system. When exit to relatives and reunification are combined into a single category of "family exits," the variation between states is somewhat smaller than it is for either exit type considered alone. In part, the higher level of exit to relatives helps to explain why the reunification levels in Alabama and Maryland are very low. It should also be noted that children in care in California, New York, and Illinois (but in kin placements) may be similar to the exits to relative placements elsewhere.
Michigan has the highest rate of completed adoption with almost one-fifth (.193) of foster care spells ending with adoptive placement. Exits by adoption were least common in Alabama and Wisconsin (.054 and.065).
Few children exit foster care because they reach majority (or "age out"), with Maryland showing the highest proportion at .059.
Illinois (.126) and New York (.099) have the highest rates of runaway exits.
Overall, "other" exits represent almost 15 percent of all foster care spell endings. These are particularly common in Alabama (.306) and Missouri (.224). In both cases, most of the "other" exits are to unknown destinations. It is possible that many of these undefined exits are by reunification, but that the exit reason coded in the data system was represented in some unidentifiable way (such as by a change in legal status).
Age at entry is the age of the child at the time of their initial placement into this spell in care. Reunification levels are highest for children who enter the foster care spell between the ages of 3 and 11 years. Over two-thirds of the exits for these children are by reunification. Reunification is least likely for children who enter as infants (39% of exits for children entering under 3 months of age) or as adolescents (43% of children 15-17 years).
The youngest children are much more likely than others to leave foster care via adoption (40% of exits for children <3 months, 21% for children 3-11 months). For the 0-3 month entry group, more spells end through adoption than through reunification. Adoption becomes a far less likely outcome as the age at entry to foster care increases. Older entrants are far more likely to leave foster care via runaway, by reaching majority, or for "other" reasons.
Age at exit. This variable is the age of the child at the end of the spell in care. While the previous finding shows that the youngest children are least likely to exit by reunification, those young entrants who do exit quickly (and thus are still very young at exit) have very high rates of reunification and high rates of relative placement. This is partly because the large number of infants that move to the adoptive track tend to remain in care for several years, and are older by the time they exit. Adoption is most likely for children who leave care at age 3-5, almost one quarter (.248) of whom exit by adoption. Aging out of care and exiting by runaway occur only for foster children in their teens. That these exit types are age-limited, and are not available exit options for young children.
Gender. The relationship between gender and the type of exit from foster care is very weak. Boys are somewhat more likely to remain in care longer, and slightly more likely to be reunified. Girls are slightly more likely to reach majority in care, and somewhat more likely than boys to run away from substitute care arrangements.
Race/Ethnicity. Hispanic foster children who leave foster care are more likely to be reunified (.639) than children from the other groups, and are the least likely to exit to relative care or by adoption. African American children who exit are the least likely to be reunified (.506), while they are the most likely to exit to relative care or adoption. The exit patterns of white children in foster care fall between these extremes, with a reunification proportion (.604) somewhat closer to the Hispanics than to the African Americans. White children, however, are more likely to leave foster care without experiencing long-term stays before exit. Just over 10 percent of the white children who entered care in 1990-94 remained in care at the end of 1997, compared to 18 percent of Hispanic children and 27 percent of African American children.
Spell sequence is defined by whether this is the first foster care experience for the child or a reentry spell in care. Children exiting from their first spell in foster care are more likely to be reunified than children who have already left care and then reentered (.583 vs. .479). Children exiting first spells are also more likely to exit to relative care (.073 vs. .057) and to be adopted from care (.123 vs. .075). Runaway and "other" exits are far more common for reentrants (.180 and .169) than for children experiencing a first spell in care (.055 and .138).
Duration of spell is the length of stay in a completed spell in care. By the design of this study population, all spells with duration of less than three years are completed, while approximately three-fifths of the spells with duration of three years or more are censored. The proportion of reunifications decreases as the length of stay in foster care increases. For all spells that exit in less than 18 months, over two-thirds end with family reunification. In contrast, of the completed spells that lasted over 3 years, less than one-quarter (.224) ended through reunification. Exits to relatives follow a similar pattern to reunification. Adoptive exits and exits by aging out are most likely from long spells in foster care. One implication of shorter spells showing high levels of reunification is that reunification tends to occur more quickly than other exits.
Placement type is defined by the of primary type of care experienced during a spell. A spell is classified as kinship care,(5) congregate care (institution and group home), or nonrelative foster care if the child spent more than one-half of their days in care in that type of placement. If no care type was primary, then the spell is classified as being of "mixed" type. Among observed exits, children in kinship placements are the most likely to be reunified with their families (.632). This suggests that kinship care can in some cases work to maintain family ties during the period of removal from the home. This statistic must be interpreted cautiously, though, because children in kinship placement also tend to remain in care the longest, and were the least likely to exit at all within the study period. (6) Only two-thirds of the kinship placement spells were completed, while 85 percent of children in nonrelative foster placements and 93 percent of children in congregate care facilities have observed exits. Children exiting congregate care spells were the least likely to reunify (.514), and the most likely to exit by runaway (.198) or "other" exit (.180). Children in nonrelative foster care were much more likely to be adopted (.164) than children in other placements.
Placement stability is defined by the number of different physical placements (and caregivers) a child experiences within a spell in care. Reunification is far more likely from a foster care spell that involves placement in only one home or facility. Two-thirds (.635) of the children who exited from a one-placement spell returned home upon exit. As the number of placements within a spell increases, the reunification rate decreases. A similar pattern applies to relative exits.
Adoptions are more common among children exiting spells with multiple placements. One explanation is that adoptive placements usually require some movement, as children on the adoptive track are often shifted into a pre-adoptive foster care arrangements.
Table IIA.1presented nine sets of two-way tables. Taken together, they demonstrate that there is systematic and substantial variability in the patterns of exit from foster care spells. Of all nine variables, only gender did not produce an important qualification about the use of reunification to end spells in foster care. Variables with particularly strong relationships were state, age at entry, and spell duration. Some of the more important relationships are portrayed graphically in Figure B.
Figure B
Proportion of Observations Exit from Foster Care, By Destination and Selected
Characteristics 1990-1994. Entries Observed Through December 31, 1997. Nine
States.
As observed by their relationships with the other variables, it appears that reunification exits and family exits are related -- in that they tend to occur commonly to the same type of children and in similar case situations. These observations suggest that we might consider them together as permanency solutions. This will be examined in a following section where they are combined into a single category termed "family exits."
However, these bivariate findings also pose questions. One issue is the high interrelation among the independent variables (multicollinearity). For example, placement stability is highly correlated with duration and with placement type. The relationships seen in the two-way tables between exit type and any of these variables might easily be caused by one of the other related predictors, by a combination of the predictors, or by another related factor that is not described. To address this issue of multicollinearity, multivariate analyses will be presented later in the report that use the predictor variables simultaneously.
Another issue is interpreting what a variable actually represents. For example, age at entry can capture many dimensions of a foster care case. The high level for adoption of infants is partially due to child characteristics (e.g., their attractiveness on the adoption market). But it is also true that the family situations that lead to the removal of infants also involve a large share of cases where terminating parental rights and initiating the adoptive process is thought to be necessary. These tables demonstrate that reunification is complex and multidimensional, and we see that interpretations should be made with care.
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Exits from foster care are presented in this section in a format designed to encourage comparisons of the rates and the timing of foster care exit activity, both between states and across time. A series of 10 pages of tables, plus one summary, is employed.
Table IIB.1 Reunification Tracking Tables for Annual
Entries to Foster Care
(Pooled information for all nine states combined)
| Year | A. Number of Exits in Interval(months) | Total Exits | Total Entries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | |||
| 1990 | 9,506 | 8,979 | 6,671 | 8,831 | 6,748 | 5,086 | 6,598 | 14,019 | 66,438 | 74,162 |
1991 |
9,811 | 9,374 | 6,898 | 9,130 | 7,058 | 4,983 | 6,825 | 12,991 | 67,070 | 77,324 |
1992 |
9,801 | 8,861 | 6,685 | 9,673 | 7,229 | 5,143 | 6,951 | 10,896 | 65,239 | 78,580 |
1993 |
10,185 | 9,395 | 7,485 | 10,006 | 7,448 | 5,479 | 7,583 | 8,012 | 65,593 | 83,293 |
1994 |
10,464 | 9,823 | 7,753 | 11,017 | 8,074 | 6,061 | 8,146 | 3,539 | 64,877 | 91,057 |
1995 |
10,038 | 9,455 | 7,527 | 10,353 | 7,536 | 5,463 | 4,507 | 54,879 | 86,301 | |
1996 |
10,885 | 9,118 | 7,598 | 10,532 | 6,326 | 1,675 | 46,134 | 94,013 | ||
1997 |
9,874 | 7,461 | 4,629 | 2,948 | 24,912 | 90,013 | ||||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
||||||||||
Year |
B. Number of Reunifications in Interval (months) | Total Reunifs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | ||
1990 |
6,914 | 6,164 | 4,621 | 6,202 | 4,588 | 2,949 | 2,786 | 3,454 | 37,678 |
1991 |
6,932 | 6,237 | 4,603 | 6,234 | 4,687 | 2,803 | 2,839 | 2,924 | 37,259 |
1992 |
6,691 | 5,857 | 4,349 | 6,558 | 4,764 | 2,922 | 2,859 | 2,304 | 36,304 |
1993 |
7,109 | 6,152 | 4,941 | 6,837 | 4,896 | 3,047 | 2,945 | 1,673 | 37,600 |
1994 |
7,174 | 6,495 | 5,003 | 7,527 | 5,394 | 3,356 | 2,898 | 718 | 38,565 |
1995 |
6,707 | 6,062 | 4,885 | 6,807 | 4,845 | 2,735 | 1,517 | 33,558 | |
1996 |
7,003 | 5,300 | 4,568 | 6,337 | 3,633 | 759 | 27,600 | ||
1997 |
5,794 | 4,018 | 2,531 | 1,499 | 13,842 | ||||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
|||||||||
Year |
C. Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Exiting By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
1990 |
0.128 | 0.249 | 0.339 | 0.458 | 0.549 | 0.618 | 0.707 | 0.896 |
1991 |
0.127 | 0.248 | 0.337 | 0.455 | 0.547 | 0.611 | 0.699 | 0.867 |
1992 |
0.125 | 0.237 | 0.323 | 0.446 | 0.538 | 0.603 | 0.692 | 0.830 |
1993 |
0.122 | 0.235 | 0.325 | 0.445 | 0.534 | 0.600 | 0.691 | 0.787 |
1994 |
0.115 | 0.223 | 0.308 | 0.429 | 0.518 | 0.584 | 0.674 | 0.712 |
1995 |
0.116 | 0.226 | 0.313 | 0.433 | 0.520 | 0.584 | 0.636 | |
1996 |
0.116 | 0.213 | 0.294 | 0.406 | 0.473 | 0.491 | ||
1997 |
0.110 | 0.193 | 0.244 | 0.277 | ||||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
||||||||
Year |
D. Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Reunifying By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
1990 |
0.093 | 0.176 | 0.239 | 0.322 | 0.384 | 0.424 | 0.461 | 0.508 |
1991 |
0.090 | 0.170 | 0.230 | 0.310 | 0.371 | 0.407 | 0.444 | 0.482 |
1992 |
0.085 | 0.160 | 0.215 | 0.298 | 0.359 | 0.396 | 0.433 | 0.462 |
1993 |
0.085 | 0.159 | 0.219 | 0.301 | 0.359 | 0.396 | 0.431 | 0.451 |
1994 |
0.079 | 0.150 | 0.205 | 0.288 | 0.347 | 0.384 | 0.416 | 0.424 |
1995 |
0.078 | 0.148 | 0.205 | 0.283 | 0.340 | 0.371 | 0.389 | |
1996 |
0.074 | 0.131 | 0.179 | 0.247 | 0.286 | 0.294 | ||
1997 |
0.064 | 0.109 | 0.137 | 0.154 | ||||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
||||||||
Year |
E. Average Monthly Exit Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
1990 |
0.128 | 0.069 | 0.040 | 0.030 | 0.028 | 0.025 | 0.019 |
1991 |
0.127 | 0.069 | 0.040 | 0.030 | 0.028 | 0.024 | 0.019 |
1992 |
0.125 | 0.064 | 0.037 | 0.030 | 0.028 | 0.024 | 0.019 |
1993 |
0.122 | 0.064 | 0.039 | 0.030 | 0.027 | 0.024 | 0.019 |
1994 |
0.115 | 0.061 | 0.037 | 0.029 | 0.026 | 0.023 | 0.018 |
1995 |
0.116 | 0.062 | 0.038 | 0.029 | 0.026 | 0.022 | 0.010 |
1996 |
0.116 | 0.055 | 0.034 | 0.026 | 0.019 | 0.006 | |
1997 |
0.110 | 0.047 | 0.021 | 0.007 | |||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
|||||||
Year |
F. Average Monthly Reunification Rate During Interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
1990 |
0.093 | 0.048 | 0.028 | 0.021 | 0.019 | 0.015 | 0.008 |
1991 |
0.090 | 0.046 | 0.026 | 0.020 | 0.019 | 0.013 | 0.008 |
1992 |
0.085 | 0.043 | 0.024 | 0.021 | 0.018 | 0.013 | 0.008 |
1993 |
0.085 | 0.042 | 0.026 | 0.020 | 0.018 | 0.013 | 0.007 |
1994 |
0.079 | 0.040 | 0.024 | 0.020 | 0.017 | 0.013 | 0.006 |
1995 |
0.078 | 0.040 | 0.024 | 0.019 | 0.017 | 0.011 | 0.004 |
1996 |
0.074 | 0.032 | 0.021 | 0.016 | 0.011 | 0.003 | |
1997 |
0.064 | 0.025 | 0.012 | 0.004 | |||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
|||||||
Year |
G. Reunifications as Proportion of Exits (Cumulative) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
1990 |
0.727 | 0.707 | 0.704 | 0.703 | 0.699 | 0.686 | 0.653 | 0.567 |
1991 |
0.707 | 0.686 | 0.681 | 0.682 | 0.679 | 0.667 | 0.635 | 0.556 |
1992 |
0.683 | 0.672 | 0.667 | 0.670 | 0.668 | 0.657 | 0.626 | 0.556 |
1993 |
0.698 | 0.677 | 0.673 | 0.675 | 0.672 | 0.660 | 0.624 | 0.573 |
1994 |
0.686 | 0.674 | 0.666 | 0.671 | 0.670 | 0.657 | 0.617 | 0.594 |
1995 |
0.668 | 0.655 | 0.653 | 0.655 | 0.653 | 0.636 | 0.611 | |
1996 |
0.643 | 0.615 | 0.611 | 0.609 | 0.604 | 0.598 | ||
1997 |
0.587 | 0.566 | 0.562 | 0.556 | ||||
| Notes: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). By calendar year in 7 states. By fiscal year in Maryland and New Mexico. |
||||||||
Tables IIB.2 Reunification Tracking Tables, by State
(Tables with the same information for each state separately, plus a summary
page).
Year |
Number of Exits in Interval | Total Exits | Total Entries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | |||
1990 |
391 | 414 | 269 | 271 | 171 | 120 | 118 | 175 | 1,929 | 2,004 |
1991 |
433 | 392 | 269 | 268 | 147 | 90 | 107 | 155 | 1,861 | 1,960 |
1992 |
421 | 316 | 289 | 248 | 149 | 67 | 85 | 148 | 1,723 | 1,855 |
1993 |
295 | 377 | 195 | 248 | 126 | 65 | 102 | 79 | 1,487 | 1,692 |
1994 |
326 | 319 | 236 | 241 | 144 | 75 | 76 | 33 | 1,450 | 1,713 |
1995 |
286 | 301 | 164 | 213 | 98 | 84 | 58 | 1,204 | 1,582 | |
1996 |
337 | 322 | 264 | 305 | 95 | 17 | 1,340 | 2,107 | ||
1997 |
332 | 292 | 160 | 90 | 874 | 2,101 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||||
Year |
Number of Reunifications in Interval | Total Reunifs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | ||
1990 |
180 | 135 | 100 | 73 | 31 | 23 | 17 | 19 | 578 |
1991 |
172 | 132 | 91 | 65 | 30 | 22 | 13 | 16 | 541 |
1992 |
171 | 84 | 72 | 73 | 31 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 465 |
1993 |
128 | 116 | 49 | 78 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 429 |
1994 |
94 | 109 | 73 | 61 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 410 |
1995 |
136 | 113 | 58 | 62 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 417 | |
1996 |
112 | 99 | 79 | 86 | 26 | 3 | 405 | ||
1997 |
111 | 97 | 46 | 14 | 268 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||||
Year |
Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Exiting By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
1990 |
0.195 | 0.402 | 0.536 | 0.671 | 0.756 | 0.816 | 0.875 | 0.963 |
1991 |
0.221 | 0.421 | 0.558 | 0.695 | 0.770 | 0.816 | 0.870 | 0.949 |
1992 |
0.227 | 0.397 | 0.553 | 0.687 | 0.767 | 0.803 | 0.849 | 0.929 |
1993 |
0.174 | 0.397 | 0.512 | 0.659 | 0.733 | 0.772 | 0.832 | 0.879 |
1994 |
0.190 | 0.377 | 0.514 | 0.655 | 0.739 | 0.783 | 0.827 | 0.846 |
1995 |
0.181 | 0.371 | 0.475 | 0.609 | 0.671 | 0.724 | 0.761 | |
1996 |
0.160 | 0.313 | 0.438 | 0.583 | 0.628 | 0.636 | ||
1997 |
0.158 | 0.297 | 0.373 | 0.416 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
Year |
Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Reunifying By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
1990 |
0.090 | 0.157 | 0.207 | 0.244 | 0.259 | 0.270 | 0.279 | 0.288 |
1991 |
0.088 | 0.155 | 0.202 | 0.235 | 0.250 | 0.261 | 0.268 | 0.276 |
1992 |
0.092 | 0.137 | 0.176 | 0.216 | 0.232 | 0.237 | 0.244 | 0.251 |
1993 |
0.076 | 0.144 | 0.173 | 0.219 | 0.233 | 0.243 | 0.251 | 0.254 |
1994 |
0.055 | 0.119 | 0.161 | 0.197 | 0.219 | 0.231 | 0.238 | 0.239 |
1995 |
0.086 | 0.157 | 0.194 | 0.233 | 0.248 | 0.260 | 0.264 | |
1996 |
0.053 | 0.100 | 0.138 | 0.178 | 0.191 | 0.192 | ||
1997 |
0.053 | 0.099 | 0.121 | 0.128 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Average Monthly Exit Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
| 1990 | 0.195 | 0.128 | 0.075 | 0.049 | 0.043 | 0.041 | 0.027 |
| 1991 | 0.221 | 0.128 | 0.079 | 0.052 | 0.041 | 0.033 | 0.025 |
| 1992 | 0.227 | 0.110 | 0.086 | 0.050 | 0.043 | 0.026 | 0.019 |
| 1993 | 0.174 | 0.135 | 0.064 | 0.050 | 0.036 | 0.024 | 0.022 |
| 1994 | 0.190 | 0.115 | 0.074 | 0.048 | 0.041 | 0.028 | 0.017 |
| 1995 | 0.181 | 0.116 | 0.055 | 0.043 | 0.026 | 0.027 | 0.011 |
| 1996 | 0.160 | 0.091 | 0.061 | 0.043 | 0.018 | 0.004 | |
| 1997 | 0.158 | 0.083 | 0.036 | 0.011 | |||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||
| Year | Average Monthly Reunification Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
| 1990 | 0.090 | 0.042 | 0.028 | 0.013 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.004 |
| 1991 | 0.088 | 0.043 | 0.027 | 0.013 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.003 |
| 1992 | 0.092 | 0.029 | 0.021 | 0.015 | 0.009 | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| 1993 | 0.076 | 0.042 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.003 |
| 1994 | 0.055 | 0.039 | 0.023 | 0.012 | 0.011 | 0.008 | 0.002 |
| 1995 | 0.086 | 0.044 | 0.019 | 0.012 | 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.001 |
| 1996 | 0.053 | 0.028 | 0.018 | 0.012 | 0.005 | 0.001 | |
| 1997 | 0.053 | 0.027 | 0.010 | 0.002 | |||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||
| Year | Reunifications as Proportion of Exits (Cumulative) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.460 | 0.391 | 0.386 | 0.363 | 0.342 | 0.331 | 0.319 | 0.300 |
| 1991 | 0.397 | 0.368 | 0.361 | 0.338 | 0.325 | 0.320 | 0.308 | 0.291 |
| 1992 | 0.406 | 0.346 | 0.319 | 0.314 | 0.303 | 0.295 | 0.288 | 0.270 |
| 1993 | 0.434 | 0.363 | 0.338 | 0.333 | 0.317 | 0.315 | 0.302 | 0.289 |
| 1994 | 0.288 | 0.315 | 0.313 | 0.300 | 0.296 | 0.295 | 0.287 | 0.283 |
| 1995 | 0.476 | 0.424 | 0.409 | 0.383 | 0.370 | 0.359 | 0.346 | |
| 1996 | 0.332 | 0.320 | 0.314 | 0.306 | 0.304 | 0.302 | ||
| 1997 | 0.334 | 0.333 | 0.324 | 0.307 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Number of Exits in Interval | Total Exits | Total Entries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | |||
| 1990 | 3,401 | 2,878 | 1,916 | 3,351 | 2,773 | 2,133 | 2,214 | 3,978 | 22,644 | 26,550 |
| 1991 | 3,364 | 3,062 | 2,063 | 3,298 | 2,647 | 1,962 | 2,181 | 3,449 | 22,026 | 26,373 |
| 1992 | 3,330 | 3,021 | 1,934 | 3,331 | 2,846 | 2,069 | 2,366 | 3,035 | 21,932 | 27,653 |
| 1993 | 3,643 | 3,309 | 2,443 | 3,596 | 3,019 | 2,190 | 2,572 | 2,303 | 23,075 | 30,313 |
| 1994 | 3,586 | 3,620 | 2,665 | 3,966 | 3,276 | 2,489 | 2,624 | 1,126 | 23,352 | 33,084 |
| 1995 | 3,476 | 3,304 | 2,540 | 3,581 | 2,898 | 2,002 | 1,614 | 19,415 | 32,572 | |
| 1996 | 3,397 | 2,634 | 2,271 | 3,172 | 2,390 | 752 | 14,616 | 35,474 | ||
| 1997 | 2,577 | 1,786 | 1,039 | 1,084 | 6,486 | 33,372 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially censored
by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||||
| Year | Number of Reunifications in Interval | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | Total Reunifs | |
| 1990 | 2,997 | 2,483 | 1,568 | 2,686 | 2,067 | 1,242 | 778 | 1,070 | 14,891 |
| 1991 | 3,005 | 2,593 | 1,643 | 2,584 | 1,912 | 1,101 | 782 | 833 | 14,453 |
| 1992 | 2,917 | 2,570 | 1,534 | 2,580 | 2,116 | 1,259 | 916 | 659 | 14,551 |
| 1993 | 3,203 | 2,756 | 1,900 | 2,866 | 2,224 | 1,299 | 929 | 395 | 15,572 |
| 1994 | 3,153 | 3,049 | 2,108 | 3,179 | 2,475 | 1,537 | 817 | 125 | 16,443 |
| 1995 | 2,985 | 2,755 | 2,022 | 2,792 | 2,127 | 1,021 | 329 | 14,031 | |
| 1996 | 2,954 | 2,106 | 1,669 | 2,100 | 1,377 | 305 | 10,511 | ||
| 1997 | 2,128 | 1,384 | 699 | 581 | 4,792 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||||
| Year | Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Exiting By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.128 | 0.236 | 0.309 | 0.435 | 0.539 | 0.620 | 0.703 | 0.853 |
| 1991 | 0.128 | 0.244 | 0.322 | 0.447 | 0.547 | 0.622 | 0.704 | 0.835 |
| 1992 | 0.120 | 0.230 | 0.300 | 0.420 | 0.523 | 0.598 | 0.683 | 0.793 |
| 1993 | 0.120 | 0.229 | 0.310 | 0.429 | 0.528 | 0.600 | 0.685 | 0.761 |
| 1994 | 0.108 | 0.218 | 0.298 | 0.418 | 0.517 | 0.592 | 0.672 | 0.706 |
| 1995 | 0.107 | 0.208 | 0.286 | 0.396 | 0.485 | 0.547 | 0.596 | |
| 1996 | 0.096 | 0.170 | 0.234 | 0.323 | 0.391 | 0.412 | ||
| 1997 | 0.077 | 0.131 | 0.162 | 0.194 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Reunifying By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.113 | 0.206 | 0.265 | 0.367 | 0.444 | 0.491 | 0.521 | 0.561 |
| 1991 | 0.114 | 0.212 | 0.275 | 0.373 | 0.445 | 0.487 | 0.516 | 0.548 |
| 1992 | 0.105 | 0.198 | 0.254 | 0.347 | 0.424 | 0.469 | 0.502 | 0.526 |
| 1993 | 0.106 | 0.197 | 0.259 | 0.354 | 0.427 | 0.470 | 0.501 | 0.514 |
| 1994 | 0.095 | 0.187 | 0.251 | 0.347 | 0.422 | 0.469 | 0.493 | 0.497 |
| 1995 | 0.092 | 0.176 | 0.238 | 0.324 | 0.389 | 0.421 | 0.431 | |
| 1996 | 0.083 | 0.143 | 0.190 | 0.249 | 0.288 | 0.296 | ||
| 1997 | 0.064 | 0.105 | 0.126 | 0.144 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Average Monthly Exit Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
| 1990 | 0.128 | 0.062 | 0.032 | 0.030 | 0.031 | 0.029 | 0.018 |
| 1991 | 0.128 | 0.067 | 0.034 | 0.031 | 0.030 | 0.027 | 0.018 |
| 1992 | 0.120 | 0.062 | 0.030 | 0.029 | 0.030 | 0.026 | 0.018 |
| 1993 | 0.120 | 0.062 | 0.035 | 0.029 | 0.029 | 0.026 | 0.018 |
| 1994 | 0.108 | 0.061 | 0.034 | 0.028 | 0.028 | 0.026 | 0.016 |
| 1995 | 0.107 | 0.057 | 0.033 | 0.026 | 0.025 | 0.020 | 0.009 |
| 1996 | 0.096 | 0.041 | 0.026 | 0.019 | 0.017 | 0.006 | |
| 1997 | 0.077 | 0.029 | 0.012 | 0.006 | |||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||
Year |
Average Monthly Reunification Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
c |
0.113 | 0.054 | 0.026 | 0.024 | 0.023 | 0.017 | 0.006 |
1991 |
0.114 | 0.056 | 0.027 | 0.024 | 0.022 | 0.015 | 0.007 |
1992 |
0.105 | 0.053 | 0.024 | 0.022 | 0.022 | 0.016 | 0.007 |
1993 |
0.106 | 0.052 | 0.027 | 0.023 | 0.021 | 0.015 | 0.006 |
1994 |
0.095 | 0.052 | 0.027 | 0.023 | 0.021 | 0.016 | 0.005 |
1995 |
0.092 | 0.047 | 0.026 | 0.020 | 0.018 | 0.010 | 0.002 |
1996 |
0.083 | 0.033 | 0.019 | 0.013 | 0.010 | 0.002 | |
1997 |
0.064 | 0.022 | 0.008 | 0.003 | |||
Note: Observations in italic are partially censored by time limit
of period of observation. |
|||||||
| Year | Reunifications as Proportion of Exits (Cumulative) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.881 | 0.873 | 0.860 | 0.843 | 0.824 | 0.793 | 0.740 | 0.658 |
| 1991 | 0.893 | 0.871 | 0.853 | 0.834 | 0.813 | 0.783 | 0.733 | 0.656 |
| 1992 | 0.876 | 0.864 | 0.847 | 0.827 | 0.810 | 0.785 | 0.735 | 0.663 |
| 1993 | 0.879 | 0.857 | 0.837 | 0.826 | 0.809 | 0.783 | 0.731 | 0.675 |
| 1994 | 0.879 | 0.861 | 0.842 | 0.830 | 0.816 | 0.791 | 0.734 | 0.704 |
| 1995 | 0.859 | 0.847 | 0.833 | 0.818 | 0.803 | 0.770 | 0.723 | |
| 1996 | 0.870 | 0.839 | 0.811 | 0.769 | 0.736 | 0.719 | ||
| 1997 | 0.826 | 0.805 | 0.780 | 0.739 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Number of Exits in Interval | Total Exits | Total Entries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | |||
| 1990 | 742 | 738 | 631 | 735 | 521 | 426 | 577 | 1,939 | 6,309 | 7,662 |
| 1991 | 736 | 809 | 638 | 946 | 671 | 447 | 638 | 2,465 | 7,350 | 10,146 |
| 1992 | 798 | 720 | 688 | 917 | 618 | 484 | 892 | 2,399 | 7,516 | 11,238 |
| 1993 | 744 | 695 | 617 | 867 | 722 | 592 | 1,090 | 1,791 | 7,118 | 11,935 |
| 1994 | 865 | 750 | 717 | 1,120 | 781 | 821 | 1,337 | 903 | 7,294 | 15,373 |
| 1995 | 822 | 788 | 747 | 1,074 | 760 | 715 | 802 | 5,708 | 13,129 | |
| 1996 | 741 | 767 | 622 | 967 | 582 | 161 | 3,840 | 12,077 | ||
| 1997 | 627 | 621 | 380 | 240 | 1,868 | 9,372 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||||
| Year | Number of Reunifications in Interval | Total Reunifs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | ||
| 1990 | 534 | 552 | 492 | 515 | 361 | 255 | 239 | 292 | 3,240 |
| 1991 | 488 | 548 | 460 | 654 | 432 | 255 | 263 | 387 | 3,487 |
| 1992 | 445 | 454 | 518 | 615 | 361 | 266 | 381 | 473 | 3,513 |
| 1993 | 431 | 456 | 407 | 523 | 456 | 320 | 447 | 435 | 3,475 |
| 1994 | 510 | 477 | 488 | 724 | 466 | 454 | 577 | 250 | 3,946 |
| 1995 | 470 | 459 | 480 | 646 | 468 | 421 | 393 | 3,337 | |
| 1996 | 406 | 458 | 366 | 619 | 384 | 88 | 2,321 | ||
| 1997 | 334 | 359 | 222 | 159 | 1,074 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||||
| Year | Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Exiting By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.097 | 0.193 | 0.276 | 0.371 | 0.439 | 0.495 | 0.570 | 0.823 |
| 1991 | 0.073 | 0.152 | 0.215 | 0.308 | 0.375 | 0.419 | 0.481 | 0.724 |
| 1992 | 0.071 | 0.135 | 0.196 | 0.278 | 0.333 | 0.376 | 0.455 | 0.669 |
| 1993 | 0.062 | 0.121 | 0.172 | 0.245 | 0.305 | 0.355 | 0.446 | 0.596 |
| 1994 | 0.056 | 0.105 | 0.152 | 0.225 | 0.275 | 0.329 | 0.416 | 0.474 |
| 1995 | 0.063 | 0.123 | 0.180 | 0.261 | 0.319 | 0.374 | 0.435 | |
| 1996 | 0.061 | 0.125 | 0.176 | 0.256 | 0.305 | 0.318 | ||
| 1997 | 0.067 | 0.133 | 0.174 | 0.199 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
Year |
Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Reunifying By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
1990 |
0.070 | 0.142 | 0.206 | 0.273 | 0.320 | 0.354 | 0.385 | 0.423 |
1991 |
0.048 | 0.102 | 0.147 | 0.212 | 0.254 | 0.280 | 0.306 | 0.344 |
1992 |
0.040 | 0.080 | 0.126 | 0.181 | 0.213 | 0.237 | 0.271 | 0.313 |
1993 |
0.036 | 0.074 | 0.108 | 0.152 | 0.190 | 0.217 | 0.255 | 0.291 |
1994 |
0.033 | 0.064 | 0.096 | 0.143 | 0.173 | 0.203 | 0.240 | 0.257 |
1995 |
0.036 | 0.071 | 0.107 | 0.157 | 0.192 | 0.224 | 0.254 | |
1996 |
0.034 | 0.072 | 0.102 | 0.153 | 0.185 | 0.192 | ||
1997 |
0.036 | 0.074 | 0.098 | 0.115 | ||||
Note: Observations in italic are partially censored by time limit
of period of observation. |
||||||||
| Year | Average Monthly Exit Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
| 1990 | 0.097 | 0.053 | 0.034 | 0.022 | 0.018 | 0.017 | 0.012 |
| 1991 | 0.073 | 0.043 | 0.025 | 0.020 | 0.016 | 0.012 | 0.009 |
| 1992 | 0.071 | 0.034 | 0.024 | 0.017 | 0.013 | 0.011 | 0.011 |
| 1993 | 0.062 | 0.031 | 0.020 | 0.015 | 0.013 | 0.012 | 0.012 |
| 1994 | 0.056 | 0.026 | 0.017 | 0.014 | 0.011 | 0.012 | 0.011 |
| 1995 | 0.063 | 0.032 | 0.022 | 0.017 | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.008 |
| 1996 | 0.061 | 0.034 | 0.020 | 0.016 | 0.011 | 0.003 | |
| 1997 | 0.067 | 0.036 | 0.016 | 0.005 | |||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||
| Year | Average Monthly Reunification Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
| 1990 | 0.070 | 0.040 | 0.027 | 0.015 | 0.012 | 0.010 | 0.005 |
| 1991 | 0.048 | 0.029 | 0.018 | 0.014 | 0.010 | 0.007 | 0.004 |
| 1992 | 0.040 | 0.022 | 0.018 | 0.011 | 0.007 | 0.006 | 0.005 |
| 1993 | 0.036 | 0.020 | 0.013 | 0.009 | 0.008 | 0.006 | 0.005 |
| 1994 | 0.033 | 0.016 | 0.012 | 0.009 | 0.007 | 0.007 | 0.005 |
| 1995 | 0.036 | 0.019 | 0.014 | 0.010 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.004 |
| 1996 | 0.034 | 0.020 | 0.012 | 0.010 | 0.007 | 0.002 | |
| 1997 | 0.036 | 0.021 | 0.009 | 0.003 | |||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||
| Year | Reunifications as Proportion of Exits (Cumulative) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.720 | 0.734 | 0.748 | 0.735 | 0.729 | 0.714 | 0.675 | 0.514 |
| 1991 | 0.663 | 0.671 | 0.685 | 0.687 | 0.679 | 0.668 | 0.635 | 0.474 |
| 1992 | 0.558 | 0.592 | 0.642 | 0.651 | 0.640 | 0.629 | 0.594 | 0.467 |
| 1993 | 0.579 | 0.616 | 0.629 | 0.622 | 0.624 | 0.612 | 0.571 | 0.488 |
| 1994 | 0.590 | 0.611 | 0.633 | 0.637 | 0.630 | 0.617 | 0.578 | 0.541 |
| 1995 | 0.572 | 0.577 | 0.598 | 0.599 | 0.602 | 0.600 | 0.585 | |
| 1996 | 0.548 | 0.573 | 0.577 | 0.597 | 0.607 | 0.604 | ||
| 1997 | 0.533 | 0.555 | 0.562 | 0.575 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Number of Exits in Interval | Total Exits | Total Entries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | |||
| 1990 | 388 | 389 | 223 | 220 | 183 | 139 | 239 | 465 | 2,246 | 2,454 |
| 1991 | 408 | 493 | 261 | 235 | 221 | 152 | 255 | 390 | 2,415 | 2,707 |
| 1992 | 340 | 396 | 205 | 285 | 229 | 176 | 255 | 406 | 2,292 | 2,742 |
| 1993 | 321 | 414 | 202 | 278 | 199 | 159 | 255 | 320 | 2,148 | 2,736 |
| 1994 | 440 | 474 | 249 | 343 | 232 | 190 | 324 | 138 | 2,390 | 3,364 |
| 1995 | 336 | 398 | 224 | 300 | 249 | 225 | 156 | 1,888 | 3,123 | |
| 1996 | 437 | 433 | 236 | 299 | 196 | 59 | 1,660 | 3,103 | ||
| 1997 | 445 | 379 | 163 | 90 | 1,077 | 3,182 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||||
| Year | Number of Reunifications in Interval | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | 36+ | Total Reunifs | |
| 1990 | 220 | 227 | 119 | 104 | 87 | 57 | 74 | 89 | 977 |
| 1991 | 242 | 303 | 149 | 118 | 89 | 65 | 83 | 70 | 1,119 |
| 1992 | 192 | 226 | 98 | 138 | 98 | 57 | 72 | 68 | 949 |
| 1993 | 172 | 248 | 133 | 145 | 101 | 54 | 74 | 44 | 971 |
| 1994 | 265 | 262 | 124 | 166 | 103 | 82 | 102 | 35 | 1,139 |
| 1995 | 166 | 205 | 113 | 138 | 123 | 108 | 50 | 903 | |
| 1996 | 227 | 209 | 116 | 150 | 91 | 26 | 819 | ||
| 1997 | 192 | 190 | 80 | 38 | 500 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||||
| Year | Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Exiting By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.158 | 0.317 | 0.407 | 0.497 | 0.572 | 0.628 | 0.726 | 0.915 |
| 1991 | 0.151 | 0.333 | 0.429 | 0.516 | 0.598 | 0.654 | 0.748 | 0.892 |
| 1992 | 0.124 | 0.268 | 0.343 | 0.447 | 0.531 | 0.595 | 0.688 | 0.836 |
| 1993 | 0.117 | 0.269 | 0.342 | 0.444 | 0.517 | 0.575 | 0.668 | 0.785 |
| 1994 | 0.131 | 0.272 | 0.346 | 0.448 | 0.517 | 0.573 | 0.669 | 0.710 |
| 1995 | 0.108 | 0.235 | 0.307 | 0.403 | 0.483 | 0.555 | 0.605 | |
| 1996 | 0.141 | 0.280 | 0.356 | 0.453 | 0.516 | 0.535 | ||
| 1997 | 0.140 | 0.259 | 0.310 | 0.338 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Cumulative Proportion of Entrants Reunifying By Month | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1 | <3 | <6 | <12 | <18 | <24 | <36 | 36+ | |
| 1990 | 0.090 | 0.182 | 0.231 | 0.273 | 0.308 | 0.332 | 0.362 | 0.398 |
| 1991 | 0.089 | 0.201 | 0.256 | 0.300 | 0.333 | 0.357 | 0.388 | 0.413 |
| 1992 | 0.070 | 0.152 | 0.188 | 0.239 | 0.274 | 0.295 | 0.321 | 0.346 |
| 1993 | 0.063 | 0.154 | 0.202 | 0.255 | 0.292 | 0.312 | 0.339 | 0.355 |
| 1994 | 0.079 | 0.157 | 0.194 | 0.243 | 0.273 | 0.298 | 0.328 | 0.339 |
| 1995 | 0.053 | 0.119 | 0.155 | 0.199 | 0.239 | 0.273 | 0.289 | |
| 1996 | 0.073 | 0.141 | 0.178 | 0.226 | 0.256 | 0.264 | ||
| 1997 | 0.060 | 0.120 | 0.145 | 0.157 | ||||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
||||||||
| Year | Average Monthly Exit Rate during interval | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 < 1 | 1 < 3 | 3 < 6 | 6 <12 | 12<18 | 18<24 | 25<36 | |
| 1990 | 0.158 | 0.094 | 0.044 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.022 | 0.022 |
| 1991 | 0.151 | 0.107 | 0.048 | 0.025 | 0.028 | 0.023 | 0.023 |
| 1992 | 0.124 | 0.082 | 0.034 | 0.026 | 0.025 | 0.023 | 0.019 |
| 1993 | 0.117 | 0.086 | 0.034 | 0.026 | 0.022 | 0.020 | 0.018 |
| 1994 | 0.131 | 0.081 | 0.034 | 0.026 | 0.021 | 0.019 | 0.019 |
| 1995 | 0.108 | 0.071 | 0.031 | 0.023 | 0.022 | 0.023 | 0.009 |
| 1996 | 0.141 | 0.081 | 0.035 | 0.025 | 0.019 | 0.007 | |
| 1997 | 0.140 | 0.069 | 0.023 | 0.007 | |||
| Note: Observations in italic are partially
censored by time limit of period of observation. Observations in blank are fully censored (unobservable). |
|||||||