Third Meeting:
Thursday, September 7, 9:00 am to 5:00 pm
Friday, September 8, 9:00 am to 1:00 pm
Where:
Health Care Financing Administration(now known as Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services(CMS)) (HCFA(now known as CMS)) Headquarters
Conference Center, Room C-112
7500 Security Boulevard
Baltimore, Maryland
Click here for directions to HCFA(now known as CMS), a map of the campus, and parking information.
Click here for minutes from the meeting.
AGENDA
September 7
9:00 - 9:05 a.m. Convene meeting
Ariel Winter
Executive Director, Technical Review Panel
9:05 - 9:10 Welcome
Richard S. Foster
Chief Actuary, Health Care Financing Administration(now known as Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services(CMS))
9:10 - 9:15 Welcome and Approval of Minutes from June 28-29 Meeting
Dale Yamamoto
Chair, Technical Review Panel
9:15 - 10:30 Subgroup 1: Medicare Assumptions
Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
David Cutler
Member, Technical Review Panel
10:30 - 10:45 Break
10:45 - 12:00 p.m. Subgroup 2: Projection Methodology
Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
James Robinson and Michael Chernew
Members, Technical Review Panel
12:00 - 1:00 Lunch
1:00 - 2:15 Subgroup 3: Long-Range Growth Assumptions
Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
Michael Chernew, David Cutler, and Sam Gutterman
Members, Technical Review Panel
2:15 - 3:30 Subgroup 4: Uncertainty/Stochastic Forecasting
Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
Sam Gutterman, James Robinson, and Len Nichols
Members, Technical Review Panel
3:30 - 3:40 Break
3:40 - 4:55 Subgroup 5: Presentation Issues/Research and Data
Discussion of Issues and Recommendations
Len Nichols
Member, Technical Review Panel
4:55 - 5:00 Public Comment Period
5:00 Adjourn
September 8
9:00 - 9:45 a.m. Presentation on Long-term Interindustry Forecast Tool (LIFT)
Office of the Actuary and University of Maryland
9:45 - 11:00 Presentation by Congressional Budget Office on Social Security and Medicare Modeling
11:00 - 11:15 Break
11:15 - 12:15 p.m. Presentation by Bruce Schobel, American Academy of Actuaries
12:15 - 12:55 Panel Discussion of Subgroups and Next Steps
12:55 - 1:00 Public Comment Period
1:00 Adjourn
THE NEXT TECHNICAL PANEL MEETING IS SCHEDULED FOR OCTOBER 11-12, 2000