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Technical Review Panel on the Medicare Trustees Report: July 26-27, 2000

Second Meeting:

Wednesday, July 26, 9:00 am to 5:00 pm
Thursday, July 27, 9:00 am to 1:00 pm


Health Care Financing Administration(now known as Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services(CMS)) (HCFA(now known as CMS)) Headquarters
Conference Center, Room C-112
7500 Security Boulevard
Baltimore, Maryland

Click here for directions to HCFA(now known as CMS), a map of the campus, and parking information.

Click here for minutes from the meeting.


July 26

9:00 a.m. Convene meeting
Ariel Winter
Executive Director, Technical Review Panel

9:00 - 9:05 Welcome
Dale Yamamoto
Chair, Technical Review Panel

9:05 - 10:00 Discussion of Hospital Insurance model spreadsheets
James Robinson
Member, Technical Review Panel

10:00 - 11:30 Hospital Insurance Trust Fund Assumptions
Office of the Actuary, HCFA(now known as CMS)
- Utilization rates
- Case mix
- Reimbursement per unit of service
- Capital

11:30 - 11:45 Break

11:45 - 1:00 p.m. Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Fund Assumptions
Office of the Actuary, HCFA(now known as CMS)
- Physician Sustainable Growth Rate, residuals
- Outpatient hospital
- Other SMI providers

1:00 - 2:00 Lunch

2:00 - 2:30 Long-Term Health Care Cost Growth Research Update
David Cutler and Michael Chernew
Members, Technical Review Panel

2:30 - 3:30 New Prospective Payment Systems (PPS)
Office of the Actuary, HCFA(now known as CMS)
- Home Health PPS
- Outpatient PPS

3:30 - 3:45 Break

3:45 - 4:45 Stochastic modeling and discussion of the use of stochastic modeling in similar financial forecasting environments (e.g., state plans, Social Security, private plans)
Office of the Actuary, HCFA(now known as CMS)

4:45 - 5:00 Public Comment Period

5:00 Adjourn

July 27

9:00 - 10:30 a.m. Other Trust Fund Topics
Office of the Actuary, HCFA(now known as CMS)
- Alternative assumptions
- Measures of actuarial soundness

10:30 - 10:45 Discussion of Outcome of 1991 Technical Panel Recommendations
Solomon Mussey, Office of the Actuary

10:45 - 11:00 Break

11:00 - 12:45 p.m. Panel Discussion of Subgroups and Next Steps

12:45 - 1:00 Public Comment Period

1:00 Adjourn