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Unwinding the Medicaid Continuous Enrollment Provision: Projected Enrollment Effects and Policy Approaches

Publication Date

This report provides current HHS projections of the number of individuals predicted to lose Medicaid coverage at the end of the COVID-19 public health emergency (PHE) due to a change in eligibility or due to administrative churning. The report also predicts eligibility for alternative insurance coverage among those predicted to lose Medicaid eligibility and highlights legislative and administrative actions that can help minimize disruptions in coverage, including the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, which provides enhanced Marketplace subsidies for 3 years that will benefit some individuals leaving Medicaid at the end of the PHE.

** This Issue Brief was corrected on March 3, 2023 to correct Figures 3 and 4

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ASPE Issue Brief
Working Age Adults | Racial & Ethnic Groups | Low-Income Populations
Location- & Geography-Based Data
National Data
Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) | Health Insurance Marketplace | Medicaid