Studies of Welfare Populations: Data Collection and Research Issues. Multivariate Analysis of the Probability of Leaving Afdc, the Probability Of Employment after Leaving and Earnings after Leaving

06/01/2002

The results presented thus far have only shown bivariate relationships between outcomes of welfare leavers and stayers and their past welfare receipt and work experience. This section assesses the importance of past welfare receipt and past earnings history, controlling for other demographic and economic variables on outcomes. The probability of leaving welfare and the probability of employment after leaving--controlling for programmatic, demographic, and economic factors--are estimated. Earnings of welfare leavers in the first year after exit are also estimated.

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