National Evaluation of Welfare-to-Work Strategies: 2-Year Full Impact Sample Files: Annotated impact tables of key outcomes calculated with administrative data

09/10/2001

Two-Year Impact Sample Public Use File

            Table Impact 1
Program Impacts on Employment and Earnings in Years 1 and 2

                                      Sample Program Control Difference  Percentage   Variable
Site and Program                        Size   Group   Group (Impact)    Change (%)       Name

                                      Ever employed in years 1or 2 (%)              VEMPQ2T9


Atlanta Labor Force Attachment          3,833    66.1    61.6      4.5***        7.3
Atlanta Human Capital Development       3,881    64.4    61.6      2.8**         4.6

Grand Rapids Labor Force Attachment     3,012    77.7    70.1      7.6***       10.9
Grand Rapids Human Capital Development  2,997    75.4    70.1      5.3***        7.6

Riverside Labor Force Attachment        6,726    60.2    45.0     15.1***       33.5
  Lacked high school diploma or basic   3,125    55.5    38.9     16.6***       42.7
Riverside Human Capital Development     3,135    48.2    38.9      9.3***       23.9

Columbus Integrated                     4,672    73.9    72.2      1.70.0        2.3
Columbus Traditional                    4,729    73.5    72.2      1.30.0        1.7

Detroit                                 4,459    62.3    58.2      4.1***        7.0

Oklahoma City                           8,677    64.1    65.0     -0.90.0       -1.4

Portland                                5,547    72.1    60.9     11.2***       18.4

                                      Average total earnings in years 1 and 2 ($)   EARNQ2T9

Atlanta Labor Force Attachment          3,833   5,820   5,006      813***       16.2
Atlanta Human Capital Development       3,881   5,502   5,006      496**         9.9

Grand Rapids Labor Force Attachment     3,012   5,674   4,639    1,035***       22.3
Grand Rapids Human Capital Development  2,997   5,219   4,639      580**        12.5

Riverside Labor Force Attachment        6,726   5,488   4,213    1,276***       30.3
  Lacked high school diploma or basic   3,125   4,124   3,133      992***       31.7
Riverside Human Capital Development     3,135   3,450   3,133      317  0       10.1

Columbus Integrated                     4,672   7,565   6,892      673**         9.8
Columbus Traditional                    4,729   7,569   6,892      677***        9.8

Detroit                                 4,459   4,369   4,001      367*          9.2

Oklahoma City                           8,677   3,518   3,514        5  0        0.1

Portland                                5,547   7,133   5,291    1,842***       34.8

 

 

                Table 5.3
Program Impacts on Employment Stability and Earning $10,000 or More in Year 2

                                              Sample  Program  Control Difference  Percentage
Site and Program                                Size    Group    Group (Impact)    Change (%)

                                            A. For All Sample Members
Employed in all four quarters (%)

Atlanta Labor Force Attachment                   3833     26.9     23.2      3.7***       16.1  empa4qy2
Atlanta Human Capital Development                3881     26.2     23.2      3.1**        13.2  empa4qy2

Grand Rapids Labor Force Attachment              3012     21.6     18.5      3.2**        17.1  empa4qy2
Grand Rapids Human Capital Development           2997     20.8     18.5      2.3          12.5  empa4qy2

Riverside Labor Force Attachment                 6726     18.9     15.2      3.7***       24.6  empa4qy2
  Lacked high school diploma or basic skills     3125     15.1     11.8      3.2***       27.3  empa4qy2
Riverside Human Capital Development              3135     13.3     11.8      1.5          12.5  empa4qy2

Columbus Integrated                              4672     32.2     27.9      4.2***       15.2  empa4qy2
Columbus Traditional                             4729     31.9     27.9      4.0***       14.4  empa4qy2

Detroit                                          4459     17.1     15.0      2.1**        14.1  empa4qy2

Oklahoma City                                    8677     10.8     12.3     -1.4**       -11.6  empa4qy2

Portland                                         5547     28.7     20.9      7.9***       37.7  empa4qy2

Earned $10,000 or more (%)

Atlanta Labor Force Attachment                   3833     12.8     11.0      1.8*         16.3  ernge10k
Atlanta Human Capital Development                3881     11.9     11.0      0.9           8.4  ernge10k

Grand Rapids Labor Force Attachment              3012     10.4      8.6      1.7*         20.0  ernge10k
Grand Rapids Human Capital Development           2997     10.4      8.6      1.8*         20.3  ernge10k

Riverside Labor Force Attachment                 6726     11.0      9.3      1.8**        19.2  ernge10k
  Lacked high school diploma or basic skills     3125      7.3      6.5      0.9          13.7  ernge10k
Riverside Human Capital Development              3135      7.0      6.5      0.5           7.7  ernge10k

Columbus Integrated                              4672     18.1     15.1      3.0***       20.1  ernge10k
Columbus Traditional                             4729     17.7     15.1      2.6**        17.0  ernge10k

Detroit                                          4459     10.2      8.3      1.9**        23.3  ernge10k

Oklahoma City                                    8677      5.3      4.8      0.5          10.2  ernge10k

Portland                                         5547     18.1     12.4      5.7***       46.2  ernge10k

 


 

Two-Year Impact Sample Public Use File

            Table Impact 2
Program Impacts on AFDC Receipt and Payments

                                      Sample  Program  Control Difference  Percentage    Variable
Site and Program                        Size    Group    Group (Impact)    Change (%)        Name

                                      Average number of months receiving AFDC in years   KRECC2T9
                                      1 and 2

Atlanta Labor Force Attachment          3,833    17.20    18.35    -1.15***       -6.3
Atlanta Human Capital Development       3,881    17.78    18.35    -0.57**        -3.1

Grand Rapids Labor Force Attachment     3,012    15.19    17.41    -2.21***      -12.7
Grand Rapids Human Capital Development  2,997    16.19    17.41    -1.22***       -7.0

Riverside Labor Force Attachment        6,726    14.59    16.05    -1.46***       -9.1
  Lacked high school diploma or basic   3,125    15.37    16.74    -1.37***       -8.2
Riverside Human Capital Development     3,135    15.78    16.74    -0.96***       -5.7

Columbus Integrated                     4,672    14.83    16.41    -1.58***       -9.6
Columbus Traditional                    4,729    15.38    16.41    -1.03***       -6.3

Detroit                                 4,459    19.23    19.71    -0.48**        -2.4

Oklahoma City                           8,677    10.93    11.71    -0.78***       -6.7

Portland                                5,547    13.12    15.53    -2.41***      -15.5

                                      Average total AFDC payments received in years 1     ADCC2T9

Atlanta Labor Force Attachment          3,833    4,553    4,922     -369***       -7.5
Atlanta Human Capital Development       3,881    4,634    4,922     -288***       -5.8

Grand Rapids Labor Force Attachment     3,012    5,944    7,347   -1,404***      -19.1
Grand Rapids Human Capital Development  2,997    6,512    7,347     -835***      -11.4

Riverside Labor Force Attachment        6,726    8,292    9,600   -1,308***      -13.6
  Lacked high school diploma or basic   3,125    8,894   10,302   -1,408***      -13.7
Riverside Human Capital Development     3,135    9,253   10,302   -1,049***      -10.2

Columbus Integrated                     4,672    4,775    5,469     -694***      -12.7
Columbus Traditional                    4,729    4,939    5,469     -530***       -9.7

Detroit                                 4,459    8,457    8,615     -158  0       -1.8

Oklahoma City                           8,677    3,391    3,624     -233***       -6.4

Portland                                5,547    5,818    7,014   -1,196***      -17.1

 


 

NEWWS Portland Evaluation
Table 1
Two-Year Impacts on Employment, Earnings, AFDC/TANF, Food Stamps,
and Combined Income for AFDC-FGs

                                        ExperimentalControl Difference  Percentage
Outcome                                      Group    Group   (Impact)    Change (%)

Ever employed in years 1-2 (%)                 72.1  60.9     11.2***       18.4          VEMPQ2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                        57.7  47.5     10.1***       21.3          VEMPQ2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                        62.0  49.5     12.5***       25.3          VEMPQ6T9

Quarters employed in years 1-2                 3.34  2.61     0.73***       28.1          KEMPQ2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                        1.52  1.20     0.32***       26.6          KEMPQ2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                        1.82  1.41     0.41***       29.3          KEMPQ6T9

Employed (%)
  Quarter 2                                    33.2  25.5      7.8***       30.5          EMPQ2
  Quarter 3                                    37.4  29.4      8.0***       27.3          EMPQ3
  Quarter 4                                    39.3  32.2      7.1***       22.2          EMPQ4
  Quarter 5                                    42.0  33.0      9.0***       27.4          EMPQ5
  Quarter 6                                    45.0  33.8     11.1***       32.9          EMPQ6
  Quarter 7                                    45.7  36.4      9.3***       25.7          EMPQ7
  Quarter 8                                    45.2  35.3     10.0***       28.2          EMPQ8
  Quarter 9                                    46.5  35.6     10.9***       30.6          EMPQ9

Earnings in years 1-2 ($)                     7,136 5,307    1,829***       34.5          EARNQ2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                       2,758 2,110      648***       30.7          EARNQ2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                       4,378 3,197    1,181***       36.9          EARNQ6T9

  Quarter 2                                     447   355       91***       25.7          EARN2
  Quarter 3                                     667   503      164***       32.6          EARN3
  Quarter 4                                     781   589      192***       32.6          EARN4
  Quarter 5                                     864   663      201***       30.4          EARN5
  Quarter 6                                   1,012   746      266***       35.7          EARN6
  Quarter 7                                   1,083   787      295***       37.5          EARN7
  Quarter 8                                   1,125   815      310***       38.1          EARN8
  Quarter 9                                   1,158   849      309***       36.4          EARN9


                                                                     (continued)

Table 1 (continued)

                                        ExperimentaControDifference  Percentage
Outcome                                      Group Group (Impact)    Change (%)

Ever received AFDC/TANF in years 1-2 (%)       93.5  94.4     -0.9          -0.9          VRECC2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                        93.1  93.9     -0.8          -0.9          VRECC2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                        60.4  69.0     -8.6***      -12.5          VRECC6T9

Months received AFDC/TANF in years 1-2        13.13 15.61    -2.48***      -15.9          KRECC2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                        8.02  9.02    -1.00***      -11.1          KRECC2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                        5.11  6.59    -1.48***      -22.4          KRECC6T9

Received AFDC/TANF (%)
  Quarter 2                                    91.1  93.0     -1.9**        -2.1          RECC2
  Quarter 3                                    76.0  83.3     -7.2***       -8.7          RECC3
  Quarter 4                                    67.5  75.6     -8.0***      -10.7          RECC4
  Quarter 5                                    60.3  70.1     -9.8***      -13.9          RECC5
  Quarter 6                                    54.0  65.0    -11.0***      -16.9          RECC6
  Quarter 7                                    49.3  61.1    -11.8***      -19.4          RECC7
  Quarter 8                                    45.5  57.3    -11.8***      -20.6          RECC8
  Quarter 9                                    41.4  53.3    -11.9***      -22.4          RECC9

AFDC/TANF amount received in years 1-2 (      5,825 7,049   -1,224***      -17.4          ADCC2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                       3,573 4,062     -489***      -12.0          ADCC2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                       2,252 2,987     -735***      -24.6          ADCC6T9

  Quarter 2                                   1,128 1,177      -49***       -4.2          ADCC2
  Quarter 3                                     917 1,043     -126***      -12.1          ADCC3
  Quarter 4                                     806   958     -152***      -15.8          ADCC4
  Quarter 5                                     723   885     -162***      -18.3          ADCC5
  Quarter 6                                     640   825     -185***      -22.4          ADCC6
  Quarter 7                                     581   763     -182***      -23.9          ADCC7
  Quarter 8                                     535   725     -190***      -26.2          ADCC8
  Quarter 9                                     496   675     -178***      -26.4          ADCC9

                                                                     (continued)

Table 1 (continued)

                                        ExperimentaControDifference  Percentage
Outcome                                      Group Group (Impact)    Change (%)

Ever received Food Stamps in years 1-2 (       93.8  94.1     -0.3          -0.3          VRFSC2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                        93.0  93.3     -0.2          -0.3          VRFSC2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                        73.7  77.7     -4.0***       -5.1          VRFSC6T9

Months received Food Stamps in years 1-2      16.13 17.39    -1.26***       -7.3          KRFSC2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                        9.11  9.62    -0.52***       -5.4          KRFSC2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                        7.03  7.77    -0.74***       -9.6          KRFSC6T9

Received Food Stamps (%)
  Quarter 2                                    91.7  91.9     -0.1          -0.1          RFSC2
  Quarter 3                                    82.4  86.0     -3.6***       -4.2          RFSC3
  Quarter 4                                    76.7  80.5     -3.8***       -4.7          RFSC4
  Quarter 5                                    71.7  77.3     -5.6***       -7.3          RFSC5
  Quarter 6                                    67.1  73.5     -6.4***       -8.7          RFSC6
  Quarter 7                                    64.2  70.7     -6.5***       -9.2          RFSC7
  Quarter 8                                    61.6  66.4     -4.7***       -7.1          RFSC8
  Quarter 9                                    58.8  63.5     -4.7***       -7.4          RFSC9

Food Stamp amount received in years 1-2       3,957 4,376     -420***       -9.6          FSC2T9
  Year 1 (quarters 2-5)                       2,231 2,414     -182***       -7.5          FSC2T5
  Year 2 (quarters 6-9)                       1,725 1,963     -237***      -12.1          FSC6T9

  Quarter 2                                     645   668      -24***       -3.6          FSC2
  Quarter 3                                     566   618      -51***       -8.3          FSC3
  Quarter 4                                     531   579      -48***       -8.3          FSC4
  Quarter 5                                     490   549      -59***      -10.7          FSC5
  Quarter 6                                     457   525      -67***      -12.8          FSC6
  Quarter 7                                     443   504      -62***      -12.2          FSC7
  Quarter 8                                     423   482      -59***      -12.3          FSC8
  Quarter 9                                     402   452      -49***      -10.9          FSC9

Average combined income in years 1-2 ($)     16,918 16,732     1860          1.1          INCC2T9

Sample size                                   3,529 2,018