Understanding Participation Rates in Medicaid: Implications for the Affordable Care Act. Table 2: Projections for Medicaid Take-Up and Enrollment Under the Affordable Care Act

03/16/2012

Table 2: Projections for Medicaid Take-Up and Enrollment Under the Affordable Care Act

SourceMedicaid Take-Up Among Newly-Eligible Uninsured AdultsProjected New Medicaid EnrollmentComment
Sommers et al., 201162%13.4 millionBy 2019
Sheils & Haught, 201174%14.6 millionUsing 2011 population size
Holahan & Headen, 201057%15.9 millionBy 2019 - standard outreach
Congressional Budget Office, 2010N/A16 millionBy 2019
Congressional Budget Office, 2012N/A17 millionBy 2016
RAND Compare, 201282%19.2 millionBy 2016
Holahan & Headen, 201075%22.8 millionBy 2019 - enhanced outreach
CMS Office of the Actuary, 201295%25.9 millionBy 2020