Source: TRIM3, HIPSM 2012. Notes: Assumes that all states expand Medicaid eligibility for adults to 138 percent FPL. Eligibility for Medicaid and CHIP includes children’s pre-ACA categories above 138 percent FPL. Proxy measure for newly eligible adults includes childless adults up to 138 percent FPL and parents with incomes between 63 percent FPL, the income-eligibility threshold for working adults in the median pre-ACA state, and 138 percent FPL. Estimates do not include people with disabilities who receive Medicare. Child care and WIC estimates include immediate family members of recipients. Unemployment insurance and EITC estimates are for potential eligibility and eligibility, respectively; other human services program estimates are for receipt. For more information about our methodology, see Appendix III.
Among consumers under age 65 who will be newly eligible for health programs under the Affordable Care Act, the percentage who re
CSV| Newly eligible Medicaid adults (proxy) (n=34.5 million) | People eligible for Marketplace subsidies (n=18.5 million) | |
|---|---|---|
| EITC eligibles | 40% | 21% |
| SNAP | 39% | 3% |
| LIHEAP | 15% | 5% |
| Potentially eligible for unemployment insurance | 8% | 8% |
| Noncustodial parents | 8% | 6% |
| Housing | 7% | 1% |
| WIC | 6% | 4% |
| Subsidized child care | 1% | 0% |
| TANF | 0% | 0% |