APPENDIX B

EVOLUTION OF THE FAMILY STABILITY CLUSTER BENCHMARKS

FS1: Reduce AFDC caseload from 40,000 to 33,000 through self-sufficiency efforts.

1991 Report: The initial Benchmark Report in 1991 included many benchmarks related to improving incomes and expanding opportunities. None were explicitly included among the "lead" or "key" benchmarks.(1) And there were no benchmarks tied directly to reducing AFDC or other public assistance caseloads.

1993 Report: While the report continued a number of benchmarks on improving incomes and expanding opportunities, none were set as one of the Report's twenty-seven "urgent" or sixteen "core" benchmarks. Nor were there any benchmarks for cutting assistance caseloads.

1995 Report: No benchmarks were set related to public assistance caseload levels.(2)

Data Sources: Not applicable.

FS2: Reduce the percentage of children living in poverty from 11% to 9%.

1991 Report: The Report's "Benchmarks for Exceptional People" included a benchmark for increasing the percentage of children ages 0-17 living above 100% of the federal poverty level.(3) A 1990 rate of 82% is reported. And target levels of 88% for 1995, 92% in 2000, and 100% in 2010 are set. The child poverty benchmark was not included among the "lead" or "key" benchmarks.

1993 Report: In 1993, increasing the percentage of children living above 100% of the poverty level was included as one of sixteen "core" benchmarks.(4) The rate for 1990 and 1992 is cited as 84%, and the targets set in the 1991 report are maintained.

1995 Report: Reducing the percentage of all Oregonians who live in poverty was reported as one of sixteen "urgent" benchmarks.(5) This rate is listed as 89% in 1980, 88% in 1990, 87% in 1992, and 88% in 1994. Goals are set at 90% in 1995, 95% in 2000, and 100% in 2010.(6) Increasing the percentage of children living above 100% of federal poverty level is also a "core" benchmark, with rates of 84% in 1990, 84% in 1992, and 89% in 1994 reported. Target levels for children in poverty are included as 88% in 1995, 92% in 2000, and 100% in 2010.(7)

Documentation/Data Sources (1995): 1990 Census data and updates from Oregon Population Survey.(8)

FS3: Reduce AFDC caseload to 20,000.

1991 Report: None of the Report's benchmarks were tied directly to reducing AFDC or other public assistance caseloads.

1993 Report: None of the Report's benchmarks were tied directly to reducing AFDC or other public assistance caseloads.

1995 Report: None of the Report's benchmarks were tied directly to reducing AFDC or other public assistance caseloads.

FS4: Reduce the percentage of children living in poverty to 6%.

1991 Report: The Report's "Benchmarks for Exceptional People" included a benchmark for increasing the percentage of children ages 0-17 living above 100% of the federal poverty level.(9) A 1990 rate of 82% is reported. And target levels of 88% for 1995, 92% in 2000, and 100% in 2010 are set. The child poverty benchmark was not included among the "lead" or "key" benchmarks.

1993 Report: In 1993, increasing the percentage of children living above 100% of the poverty level was included as one of sixteen "core" benchmarks.(10) The rate for 1990 and 1992 is cited as 84%, and the targets set in the 1991 report are maintained.

1995 Report: Reducing the percentage of all Oregonian who live in poverty was reported as one of sixteen "urgent" benchmarks.(11) This rate is listed as 89% in 1980, 88% in 1990, 87% in 1992, and 88% in 1994. Goals are set at 90% in 1995, 95% in 2000, and 100% in 2010.(12) Increasing the percentage of children living above 100% of federal poverty level is also a "core" benchmark, with rates of 84% in 1990, 84% in 1992, and 89% in 1994 reported. Target levels for children in poverty are included as 88% in 1995, 92% in 2000, and 100% in 2010.(13)

Documentation/Data Sources (1995): 1990 Census data and updates from Oregon Population Survey.(14)

FS5: Reduce the first time demand for public assistance among young adults by decreasing rates of teen pregnancy, teen drug use, and juvenile crime and increasing school graduation and placement rates for young adults.

1991 Report: No specific benchmark related to the first time demand for public assistance is included in the 1991 report.(15) Related benchmarks in the report include:

Teen pregnancy: Reducing the pregnancy rate per 1,000 females 10-17 is included as one of seventeen "lead" benchmarks. The rates in 1980 and 1990 were 24.7 and 19.5 respectively. Target levels are set at 9.8 in 1995, 8 in 2000, and 8 in 2010.(16)

Teen drug use: Increasing the percentage of 11th grade students free of involvement with illicit drugs in the previous month was among the seventeen "lead" benchmarks. The rate in 1990 was reported as 68.2%. And targets of 85% in 1995, 98% in 2000, and 99% in 2010 were set.(17)

Juvenile crime: Reducing the rate of juvenile crimes per 1,000 juvenile Oregonians per year was included. A rate of 32 in 1980 and 38 in 1990 are cited, and targets of 35 in 1995, 20 in 2000, and 10 in 2010 were set.(18)

School graduation: The report includes a benchmark to increase the high school graduation rate from 73% in 1990, with goals of 83% in 1995, 93% in 2000, and 95% in 2010.(19)

1993 Report: No specific benchmark related to the first time demand for public assistance is included in the 1993 report.(20) Other related benchmarks include:

Teen pregnancy: Reducing the teen pregnancy rate is among the Report's twenty-seven "urgent" benchmarks. Targets levels were unchanged from 1991 -- 9.8 in 1995, 8 in 2000, and 8 in 2010.(21)

Teen drug use: Increasing the percentage of 8th and 11th grade students free of involvement with illicit drugs, alcohol, and tobacco in the previous month was included as an "urgent" benchmark.(22)

Juvenile crime: Reducing the rate of juvenile crimes was continued as a benchmark from 1991. Target levels were amended slightly to include rates of 35/1000 in 1995, 20/1000 in 2000, and 15/1000 in 2010.(23)

School graduation: Increasing the percentage of adults who have completed high school or an equivalent program was included among the sixteen "core" benchmarks. The report provides historic rates of 60% in 1970, 75% in 1980, 86% in 1990, and 87% in 1992. Target rates were improved to 90% in 1995, 94% in 2000, and 97% in 2010.(24)

1995 Report: No benchmarks for cutting public assistance caseloads were included in the report. Other related benchmarks include:

Teen pregnancy: Cutting rates of teen pregnancy were maintained as an "urgent" benchmark. Historic rates were included as 24.7 in 1980, 19.7 in 1990, 19.3 in 1991, and 17.9 in 1992. Target levels for future years remained unchanged. (25)

Teen drug use: Increasing the percentage of 6th, 8th, and 11th grade students free of involvement with illicit drugs, alcohol, and tobacco in the previous month was included as one of sixteen "urgent" benchmarks.(26)

Juvenile crime: Reducing the rate of juvenile arrests was an "urgent" benchmark. (27) The 1995 Report also provided updates on historic rates and new target levels broken out by crimes against persons, crimes against property, and behavioral crime.

School graduation: Core benchmarks included increasing the high school graduation rate.(28) Historic rates were reported as 72% in 1990 and 1991, 74% in 1992, and 77% in 1993. Target levels were revised to 83% in 1995, 93% in 2000, and 95% in 2010.(29)

Data/Documentation: Sources for each of these benchmarks include:

Teen Pregnancy: Rates are calculated based on the Oregon Vital Statistics Annual Report, Center for Health Statistics, Oregon Health Division and Population Estimates for Oregon. Data are published annually by the Center for Research and Census, School of Urban and Public Affairs, Portland State University.(30)

Teen Drug Use: Data are collected in the Oregon Public School Drug Use Survey. The survey is conducted in even numbered years for the Office of Alcohol and Drug Abuse Programs.(31)

Juvenile Crime: Data are drawn from the Uniform Crime Reporting program of the Oregon Department of State Police.(32)

School Graduation: Department of Education, Dropout Rates in Oregon High Schools.(33)

ENDNOTES

(1) 1991 Report, pages 5-8.

(2) 1995 Report, pages 40-41.

(3) 1991 Report, page 12.

(4) 1993 Report, page 20.

(5) 1995 Report, page 19.

(6) 1995 Report, page 60.

(7) 1995 Report, page 26.

(8) 1995 Report, page 75.

(9) 1991 Report, page 12.

(10) 1993 Report, page 20.

(11) 1995 Report, page 19.

(12) 1995 Report, page 60.

(13) 1995 Report, page 26.

(14) 1995 Report, page 75.

(15) 1991 Report, pages 5-8.

(16) 1991 Report, page 5.

(17) 1991 Report, page 5.

(18) 1991 Report, page 26.

(19) 1991 Report, page 14.

(20) 1993 Report, pages 11-23.

(21) 1993 Report, page 11.

(22) 1993 Report, page 12.

(23) 1993 Report, page 47.

(24) 1993 Report, page 19.

(25) 1995 Report, page 26.

(26) 1995 Report, page 31.

(27) 1995 Report, pages 19 and 52.

(28) 1995 Report, page 32.

(29) 1995 Report, page 32.

(30) 1995 Report, page 75.

(31) 1995 Report, page 77.

(32) 1995 Report, page 86.

(33) 1995 Report, page 78.