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One goal of welfare reform was to reduce families dependence on cash assistance and make receipt of assistance temporary. Participation in other government programs, particularly food stamps and Medicaid, can provide support for families as they make the transition from welfare to work.
For some recipients who exit TANF, the transition is not permanent. A substantial group of former recipients return to the cash assistance roles. While past research has shown that there were families cycling on and off cash assistance before welfare reform, returning to cash assistance takes on increased urgency in light of the lifetime limits on benefit receipt under TANF. The majority of leavers in the areas and cohorts examined here had not reached federal or state time limits during the study time period, but returns to TANF mean further depleting their limited benefit time.
As families leave cash assistance and strive toward self-sufficiency, some government benefits typically remain available to aid in the transition off cash assistance. These include food stamps, Medicaid, and child care assistance. Families who have sufficiently low incomes and meet other program requirements continue to be eligible for these benefits. This section examines returns to TANF and then addresses the extent to which former TANF/AFDC recipients continue to receive other government benefits over time.
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Despite the relatively high employment rates shown earlier, a sizeable minority of TANF exiters return to cash assistance in the first year after leaving. Figure IV.1 shows the range of these results across studies by quarter after exit using administrative data.
Figure IV.1:
Percent of Single-Parent Welfare Leavers Returning to TANF
Notes: The graph shows the minimum, maximum, and median TANF return rates as reported across the studies. The shaded box represents the range in which the middle 50% of reported TANF return rates fall. Not all studies provide data for all post-exit quarters. See table IV.1 for more information.
In the second, third, and fourth quarter after exit, the median percentage of families returning to TANF is 15, 18, and 19 percent respectively. However, there is variation across sites (Table IV.1).18 The highest rates of return in the third and fourth quarters after exit are in Iowa and Cuyahoga County, where about a quarter of leavers return to cash assistance. South Carolina and Florida have the lowest percentage of leavers returning in these quarters.
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Quarter Relative to Exit (%) | Receipt Any Time in Year After Exit | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 28 |
| District of Columbia1,2 | 4Q98 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
Florida3 |
2Q97 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 25 |
Georgia |
1Q98 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 22 4 |
Illinois3 |
3Q97 - 4Q98 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 29 |
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 30 |
Massachusetts2 |
Dec 1998 - Mar 1999 | 3 5 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
Missouri2 |
4Q96 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 29 |
New York |
1Q97 | n.a | n.a | n.a | 19 | n.a |
South Carolina2 |
Oct 1998 - Mar 1999 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
Washington |
4Q97 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 23 |
Wisconsin2 |
4Q97 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 36 |
Cuyahoga Co. |
3Q98 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 38 |
Bay Area |
4Q98 | 19 | 21 | 23 | n.a | n.a |
1Quarterly data calculated from public use
files. |
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In most of the studies, returns to TANF increase over the first four quarters after exit. However, some report relatively high returns even in the first post-exit quarter. For example, Wisconsin, Cuyahoga County and the Bay Area study all report return rates around 20 percent in the first quarter after exit. Other studies report relatively low return rates in the first quarter. While some of these are reporting monthly and not quarterly rates, the 3 percent returns in Georgia and South Carolina are quarterly. In most studies, the rates of return are more closely bunched in the second through third quarters.19
There are indications that in many areas, fairly steady TANF participation rates in the second through fourth quarters after exit mask a fair degree of cycling families returning to TANF and then leaving again. Eight of the fourteen studies report the percentage of families who ever received TANF in the year after initially exiting. These numbers range from 17 to 38 percent, with the median at 27 percent. In all of these, a higher percent of leavers ever returned to TANF over the course of the year than are on at the end of the year: in most cases a much higher percent. This indicates a large degree of movement off and on TANF. For example, Arizona reports that 28 percent of leavers in the study cohort return to TANF over the year after exit, but only 16 percent were on in the twelfth month after leaving. This means almost half of those who return to TANF at some point in the year after exit have left again before the twelfth month.
Using the limited information available, it is interesting to examine how return rates vary by the time limit policy in each of the study areas. As noted earlier, families may leave earlier in states with shorter time limits compared with states with the 60-month time limit. This could mean families are less likely to return because they have already hit their time limit or want to save up remaining months. It could also mean families are more likely to return if they were less prepared for the labor market when they exited TANF. In the studies examined here, there is some indications that places with shorter time limits (less than the federal 60 month limit) have lower returns in the fourth quarter. For example, Florida, Massachusetts, and South Carolina all have shorter than 5-year time limits and rates of return in the fourth quarter ranging from 11 to 16 percent. Ohio also has a shorter time limit, but Cuyahoga County's rate of return in the fourth quarter is the highest of the studies examined, 25 percent. 20
Administrative data have some advantages over survey data for examining program participation, in that survey data are susceptible to faulty respondent memory and misinterpretation of questions. However, survey data on program participation does have the advantage of capturing benefit receipt for those who have moved out-of-state and no longer appear in the original states administrative data.
Seven studies report results on returns to TANF from their surveys of former recipients (Table IV.2). These results for TANF receipt at the time of the survey (which ranges from 6 to 34 months after exit) are generally comparable to the administrative data results for the same time period. Five of the studies also report the percent returning at any time in the year after exit. These results show that returns since exit are higher than returns at the time of the survey. They reinforce the finding that while a significant percentage of leavers return to welfare, many who return exit again in the time period prior to the survey. Of all the surveys, Missouri allows the longest-term picture of returns to TANF, by administering their survey two and a half years after the initial exit. At this time, 14 percent of leavers report they are back on TANF in Missouri and 31 percent say they received TANF at some point since exit.
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Timing of Survey Post Exit | Since Exit (%) | At Time of Survey (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
District of Columbia2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 25 | 19 1 |
Illinois |
Dec. 1998 | 6 - 8 months | 19 | 14 |
Iowa |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | 28 | 21 1 |
Massachusetts2 |
Dec 1998 - Mar 1999 | ~ 10 months | 18 | 10 |
Missouri2 |
4Q98 | 26 - 24 months | 31 | 14 |
South Carolina2 |
Oct 1998-Mar 1999 | 12 months | n.a. | 7 |
Washington |
Oct. 1998 | 6 - 8 months | n.a | 19 |
1Month prior to survey. |
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Food stamp benefits can provide a significant amount of resources to a low-income family. Families with incomes below 130 percent of the federal poverty line qualify for food stamp benefits. Since income eligibility requirements are more strict for TANF than for food stamps, the vast majority of TANF recipients are also eligible for food stamps. Six studies report food stamp receipt in the quarter prior to leaving TANF using administrative data, and they all show that over 80 percent of leavers were receiving this benefit (Table IV.3).
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Quarter Relative to Exit (%) | Receipt Any Time in Year After Exit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q-1 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | 83 | 51 | 46 | 45 | 42 | 67 |
District of Columbia1,2 |
4Q98 | 87 | 40 | 42 | 40 | 41 | 53 |
Florida3 |
2Q97 | n.a | 45 | 41 | 38 | 35 | 67 |
Illinois3 |
3Q97 - 4Q98 | 85 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 56 |
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | 85 | 50 | 44 | 42 | 56 | 67 |
Massachusetts2,3 |
Dec 1998 - Mar 1999 | n.a | 42 | 48 | 46 | 44 | 51 |
Missouri2 |
4Q96 | n.a | 57 | 47 | 43 | 40 | 70 |
New York |
1Q97 | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | 26 | n.a |
South Carolina2 |
Oct 1998 - Mar 1999 | n.a | 78 | 68 | 64 | 61 | 84 |
Washington |
4Q97 | 90 | 46 | 42 | 40 | 36 | n.a |
Wisconsin2 |
2Q98-4Q98 | 84 | 70 | 67 | 65 | 63 | 83 |
Cuyahoga Co. |
3Q98 | n.a | 56 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 68 |
Bay Area4 |
4Q98 | n.a | 26 | 28 | 28 | n.a | n.a |
1Quarterly data calculated from public use
files. |
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Twelve studies report post-exit food stamp receipt using administrative data, and they show wide variation in the percent of leavers receiving this benefit overall. Food stamp receipt drops significantly after exiting TANF. The actual percentages range from 26 percent in the Bay Area to 78 percent in South Carolina (Figure IV.2). 21
Figure IV.2:
Percent of Single-Parent Welfare Leavers Receiving Food Stamps
Notes: The graph shows the minimum, maximum, and median food stamp receipt rates. The shaded box represents the range in which the middle 50% of food stamp receipt rates fall. Not all studies provide data for all post-exit quarters. See table IV.3 for more information.
In seven out of the twelve studies reporting food stamp benefit receipt in the quarter after exit, 50 percent or fewer leavers are receiving food stamps. The median level of receipt is 48 percent. These generally low rates of receipt are at least in part due to some recipients no longer being eligible for food stamps. However, the extent to which a change in eligibility status is the reason for the decline in receipt after exit cannot be assessed with these data.
Over the first year after exit, the majority of studies show some decline in food stamp receipt. Figure IV.2 shows that the median percentage of families receiving food stamps falls from 48 percent in the first quarter after exit to 42 percent in the fourth
quarter after exit. The studies reporting the greatest declines, Missouri and South Carolina, have some of the largest receipt rates in the first quarter after exit (Table IV.3). In the fourth quarter after exit, New York reports the lowest rate of receipt among these studies, 26 percent, while Wisconsin has the highest rate, 63 percent. 22
As with returns to TANF, there is evidence in these administrative data of a great deal of cycling on and off food stamps. The percentage of leavers who receive food stamps at any point over the year after exit is significantly higher than the percentage receiving in any of the individual quarters. For example, 67 percent of Arizona leavers receive food stamps at some point in the year after exiting TANF, but only between 42 and 51 percent are receiving benefits in any single quarter. This suggests that while the overall receipt of food stamps declines slowly over time, there is actually a substantial degree of turnover with recipients leaving and entering the food stamp caseload.
These food stamp participation rates include families that have returned to TANF. Thus, these numbers conceal a more extensive decline in food stamp receipt among continuous leavers (those who have not returned to TANF in the year after exit). Those who have returned to TANF are more likely to be receiving food stamps, likely due to the relative ease of accessing food stamps benefits when already receiving TANF. Those who have not returned may have lower receipt over time either because they have more earnings and, therefore, are likely to be less eligible for benefits over time or they moved out of the geographic area being studied and are no longer included in administrative TANF or food stamp data.
Seven studies report food stamp receipt for continuous leavers (Table IV.4). Figure IV.3 shows the five studies reporting receipt of food stamps at any time in the year after exit for continuous and all leavers.
Figure IV.3:
Percent of Single-Parent Welfare Leavers Who Ever Received Food Stamps In
Year After Exit--Continuous Leavers v. All Leavers
Notes: See table IV.4 for more information.
In all studies in almost all quarters after exit, the percentage of continuous leavers receiving food stamps after leaving TANF is lower than the percentage of all leavers receiving food stamps. For example, in Arizona, 67 percent of all leavers receive food stamps at some point in the year after leaving TANF, compared with 55 percent of continuous leavers.
State |
Exit Cohort | Quarter Relative to Exit (%) | Receipt Any Time in Year After Exit | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
51 | 46 | 45 | 42 | 67 | |
Continuous Leavers |
46 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 55 | |
District of Columbia1,2 |
4Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
40 | 42 | 40 | 41 | 53 | |
Continuous Leavers |
33 | 31 | 26 | 25 | 39 | |
Florida3 |
2Q97 | |||||
All Leavers |
45 | 41 | 38 | 35 | 67 | |
Continuous Leavers |
38 | 30 | 26 | 29 | 61 | |
Illinois3 |
3Q97 - 4Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 56 | |
Continuous Leavers |
28 | 33 | 36 | 39 | n.a. | |
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | |||||
All Leavers |
50 | 44 | 42 | 56 | 67 | |
Continuous Leavers |
46 | 31 | 25 | 41 | 53 | |
Missouri2 |
4Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
57 | 47 | 43 | 40 | 70 | |
Continuous Leavers |
49 | 35 | 30 | 26 | n.a. | |
South Carolina2 |
Oct 1998-Mar 1999 | |||||
All Leavers |
78 | 68 | 64 | 61 | 84 | |
Continuous Leavers |
76 | 64 | 59 | 55 | 81 | |
1Quarterly data calculated from public
use files. |
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There is information on food stamp receipt from survey data in nine of the studies (Table IV.5). Where the timing of this information overlaps with that of administrative data, the results are similar, with some survey estimates somewhat lower than administrative data (e.g. Arizona). Missouri again affords the opportunity to observe program participation for a fairly long period after exit. In this study, 47 percent of leavers are receiving food stamps 26 to 34 months after exit, the same percentage receiving food stamps in the second quarter after exit according to Missouris administrative data. According to survey data from five studies, continuous leavers also have lower receipt of food stamps than the entire population of leavers (Table IV.6). Receipt of food stamps ranges from 3 to 12 percentage points lower at the time of the survey for continuous leavers as compared with all leavers. The percentage receiving at any time since exit is 10 percentage points lower for continuous leavers in the two studies that provide this information.
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Timing of Survey Post Exit | Since Exit (%) | At Time of Survey (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | 12-18 months | 55 | 38 |
District of Columbia2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 55 | 41 |
Georgia |
Jan 1999- June 2000 | ~ 6 months | n.a | 74 |
Illinois |
Dec. 1998 | 6 - 8 months | 44 | 33 |
Iowa1,3 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | n.a | 43 |
Massachusetts2 |
Dec 1998-Mar 1999 | ~10 months | 53 | 38 |
Missouri2 |
4Q98 | 26 - 34 months | n.a | 47 |
South Carolina2 |
Oct. 1998-Mar 1999 | 12 months | n.a. | 61 |
Washington1 |
Oct. 1998 | 6 - 8 months | 50 | n.a |
1Calculations from public use data files.
|
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State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Timing of Survey Post Exit | Since Exit (%) | At Time of Survey (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | 12-18 months | ||
All Leavers |
55 | 38 | ||
Continuous Leavers |
45 | 27 | ||
District of Columbia1,2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | ||
All Leavers |
55 | 41 | ||
Continuous Leavers |
45 | 31 | ||
Iowa1,3 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | ||
All Leavers |
n.a | 43 | ||
Continuous Leavers |
n.a | 31 | ||
Massachusetts1,2 |
Dec 1998-Mar 1999 | ~10 months | ||
All Leavers |
53 | 38 | ||
Continuous Leavers |
31 | |||
South Carolina2 |
Oct. 1998-Mar.1999 | 12 months | ||
All Leavers |
n.a | 61 | ||
Continuous Leavers |
n.a | 58 | ||
1Data calculated from public use data files.
|
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Another important benefit that can support the transition from welfare to work is public health insurance through the Medicaid program. 23 Like food stamps, families receiving TANF are generally eligible for this benefit. This is borne out in the high rates of adult receipt, 90 percent or more, in the six studies reporting Medicaid coverage in the quarter prior to exiting TANF (Table IV.7). Most families exiting welfare through employment are eligible for Transitional Medical Assistance and most children in low-income families are eligible for Medicaid.
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Quarter Relative to Exit | Receipt Any Time in Year After Exit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q-1 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||
Adults |
|||||||
Arizona1,2 |
1Q98 | 96 | 60 | 54 | 49 | 45 | 72 |
District of Columbia2,3 |
4Q98 | 98 | 44 | 49 | 49 | 50 | 58 |
Florida4 |
2Q97 | n.a | 55 | 52 | 48 | 45 | 74 |
Illinois4 |
3Q97 - 4Q98 | 93 | 57 | 52 | 47 | 40 | 69 |
Iowa1,2 |
2Q99 | n.a | 54 | 49 | 49 | 46 | 68 |
Missouri3 |
4Q96 | n.a | 41 | 39 | 34 | 31 | n.a |
New York |
1Q97 | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | 35 5 | n.a |
South Carolina |
Oct 1998 - Mar 1999 | 90 | 69 | 64 | 57 | 45 | 69 |
Washington3,6 |
4Q97 | 93 | 53 | 49 | 46 | 43 | n.a |
Wisconsin3 |
2Q98-4Q98 | 96 | 80 | 79 | 78 | 76 | 87 |
Cuyahoga |
3Q98 | n.a | 60 | 55 | 50 | 46 | 70 |
Bay Area4,7 |
4Q98 | n.a | 74 | 70 | 66 | n.a | n.a |
Children |
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Florida4 |
2Q97 | n.a | 62 | 58 | 54 | 51 | 78 |
Missouri3 |
4Q96 | n.a | 81 | 86 | 97 | 87 | n.a |
New York |
1Q97 | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | 34 5 | n.a |
South Carolina3 |
Oct 1998 - Mar 1999 | 96 | 88 | 86 | 80 | 68 | 88 |
Wisconsin |
2Q98-4Q98 | 90 | 86 | 83 | 82 | 80 | 90 |
1Only family head enrollment considered.
|
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In the studies reporting Medicaid administrative data, there are varying rates of Medicaid coverage for adults after exiting TANF. In the first quarter after exit, results range from 41 percent in Missouri to 80 percent in Wisconsin (Figure IV.4 and Table IV.7).
Figure IV.4:
Percent of Single-Parent Welfare Recipients Receiving Medicaid for Adults
Notes: The graph shows the minimum, maximum, and median Medicaid coverage rates as reported across the studies. The shaded box represents the range in which the middle 50% of Medicaid coverage rates fall. Not all studies provide data for all post-exit quarters. See table IV.7 for more information.
The median percentage covered by Medicaid in the first quarter after exit is 57 percent. While these rates are generally higher than receipt of food stamps, they are far lower than the 90 plus percent receiving Medicaid benefits before exit reported in several studies.
Only five studies report separate administrative data on Medicaid enrollment for children. The coverage rates after exit vary from 62 percent in the third month after exit in Florida to 88 percent in the first quarter after exit for South Carolina. In almost all studies reporting both adult and child enrollment, coverage for children is higher than for adults. New York is the only study reporting about the same Medicaid coverage for adults and children (35 percent versus 34 percent) in the fourth quarter after exit, with 45 percent of cases having any members with Medicaid.
Similar to food stamp receipt, the percentage of leavers who have Medicaid coverage at any time over the year after exit is significantly higher than the percent receiving in any particular month or quarter. For example, in Florida, 74 percent of adults and 78 percent of children are on Medicaid at some point over the year, but only 45 percent and 51 percent of adults and children respectively are covered by Medicaid in the twelfth month after exit. This signals a fair amount of turnover in Medicaid receipt.
Over time, the rate of Medicaid coverage declines for both adults and children in almost all of these studies, except for adults in the District of Columbia and children in Missouri. As with food stamp receipt, the decline is greater for the group of continuous leavers. Six of the eight studies reporting Medicaid use by continuous leavers show this more dramatic decline (Table IV.8).
State |
Exit Cohort | Quarter Relative to Exit (%) | Receipt Any Time in Year After Exit | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
60 | 54 | 49 | 45 | 72 | |
Continuous Leavers |
55 | 44 | 34 | 28 | 61 | |
District of Columbia1,2 |
4Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
44 | 49 | 49 | 50 | 58 | |
Continuous Leavers |
38 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 46 | |
Florida3 |
2Q97 | |||||
All Leavers |
55 | 52 | 48 | 45 | 74 | |
Continuous Leavers |
49 | 41 | 35 | 39 | 69 | |
Illinois3 |
3Q97 - 4Q98 | |||||
All Leavers |
57 | 52 | 47 | 40 | 69 | |
Continuous Leavers |
50 | 53 | 55 | 56 | n.a. | |
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | |||||
All Leavers |
54 | 49 | 49 | 46 | 68 | |
Continuous Leavers |
49 | 37 | 33 | 30 | 55 | |
Missouri2 |
4Q96 | |||||
All Leavers |
41 | 39 | 34 | 31 | n.a. | |
Continuous Leavers |
35 | 26 | 20 | 15 | n.a. | |
South Carolina2 |
Oct 1998-Mar 1999 | |||||
All Leavers |
69 | 64 | 57 | 45 | 69 | |
Continuous Leavers |
66 | 62 | 57 | 46 | 66 | |
Washington |
4Q1997 | |||||
All Leavers |
53 | 49 | 46 | 43 | n.a | |
Continuous Leavers |
55 | 45 | 40 | 36 | n.a | |
1data calculated from public use
files. |
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Figure IV.5 shows the percent of adult leavers with Medicaid coverage at some point in the year after exit for continuous and all leavers.
Figure IV.5:
Percent of Single-Parent Welfare Leavers Receiving Medicaid for Adults in
Year After Exit--Continuous Leavers v. All Leavers
Notes: See table IV.8 for more information.
Coverage rates in the year after exiting TANF are lower for continuous leavers than for all leavers. This is true for most studies in most of the quarters after exit. The main exception is Illinois which actually shows increasing coverage for continuous leavers. Lower coverage of continuous leavers could in part be due to the fact that after six months transitional Medicaid benefits are income-tested in many states and some workers may no longer qualify. It could also be true, as noted earlier, that some leavers move out of the study area and are no longer captured in the studies TANF or Medicaid program data.
Survey data are valuable when collecting information on health insurance coverage other than Medicaid. They can be used to ascertain coverage by private sources as well as public and to discover the percentage of persons with no coverage at all. Ten studies report survey data for insurance coverage of adults at the time of the survey (Table IV.9).24 The percentage covered by Medicaid is reported in the first column under type of coverage at time of interview. This information roughly corresponds to the administrative findings where similar time periods are available, with some survey reports of Medicaid slightly higher than administrative reports and some slightly lower. The exception is South Carolina, where the survey results include Medicaid coverage of any household member, and are thus much higher than administrative reports for adults only.
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Timing of Survey Post Exit | Type of Coverage at Time of Interview (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medicaid | Employer1 | Other | Uninsured | |||
Arizona2 |
1Q98 | 12 - 18 months | 38 | 15 | 5 | 41 |
District of Columbia2,3 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 54 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
Georgia |
Jan 1999- June 2000 | ~ 6 months | 66 | n.a | 10 4 | 24 |
Illinois2 |
3Q97 - 4Q98 | 6 - 8 months | 47 | 21 5 | n.a | 36 |
Iowa2,6 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | 48 | 14 | 8 | 37 |
Massachusetts2,3 |
Dec 1998 - Mar 1999 | ~ 10 months | 81 | 13 | n.a | 10 |
Missouri3 |
4Q98 | 26 - 34 months | 33 | 25 | 9 | 32 |
South Carolina3,7 |
Oct 1998 - Mar 1999 | 12 months | 85 | 10 5 | 1 | 10 |
Washington8 |
4Q97 | 6 - 8 months | 53 | 13 | 12 | 26 |
Bay Area |
4Q98 | 6 - 12 months | 53 | n.a | 23 9 | 24 |
1Employer includes own employer coverage
for survey respondents. Spouse employer coverage, where reported separately
(Missouri, Iowa, and Washington) is included in other. |
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The share of adults without health insurance varies substantially across studies. The rates range from 10 percent in Massachusetts to 41 percent in Arizona. South Carolina reports that in 10 percent of leaver families that have not returned to welfare, all members are uninsured. This range reflects, in part, differences in Medicaid coverage for adults as well as, to a lesser extent, differences in private coverage. The lower rate of adult uninsurance in Massachusetts is a result of the higher rate of adult Medicaid coverage compared with other studies. Arizona has one of the lowest rates of adult Medicaid coverage, and the highest uninsured rate. However, private/employer coverage plays a significant role in Missouri which reports the lowest rate of adult Medicaid coverage among the grantees (33 percent), but has the highest rate of private (employer and other) coverage at 34 percent.
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There are a number of other sources of public support that can provide crucial assistance to families that have exited welfare. These include housing assistance through subsidies or public housing, Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program and Social Security program income for persons with disabilities or survivors of beneficiaries. Other programs include reduced price or free school lunches, the Women, Infant, and Children's (WIC) nutritional supplement program, fuel/energy assistance, and unemployment compensation. In addition, many working leavers are eligible for the federal and/or state Earned Income Tax Credits (EITC) that supplement incomes of low-income workers. A few studies ask about receipt of these benefits in their surveys, some asking about receipt at the time of the survey and some about receipt at any point since exit. 25
There is a wide variation in the percent of leavers receiving housing assistance in the eleven studies reporting this information (Table IV.10). Rates of receipt of housing assistance at the time of the survey range from 18 percent in Arizona to 60 percent in Georgia. Receipt of housing assistance at any point since exit ranges from 14 percent of welfare leavers in Illinois to 53 percent in Massachusetts.
State/Study |
Exit Cohort | Timing of Survey Post Exit | Housing | SSI | Social Security | School Lunch | WIC | Fuel/ Energy | Unem. Comp. | EITC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Results for time of survey |
||||||||||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | 12 - 18 months | 18 | 12 | n.a | 27 | 25 | n.a | n.a | 52 |
District of Columbia1,2,3 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 27 | 6/64 | 7 | n.a | 12/354 | 3 | 3 | n.a |
Georgia |
Jan 1999-June 2000 | ~ 6 months | 60 | n.a | n.a | 87 | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a |
Missouri2 |
4Q98 | 26 - 34 months | 26 | 12 | n.a | n.a | 23 | n.a | 2 | n.a |
South Carolina2 |
Oct98-Mar99 | 12 months | 24 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 26 | n.a | n.a | n.a |
Bay Area |
4Q98 | 6 - 12 months | 24 | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | 32 |
Results for time since exit |
||||||||||
District of Columbia1,2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 31 | 7/84 | 8 | n.a | 16/464 | 9 | 5 | 50 |
Illinois2 |
3Q97-4Q98 | 6 - 8 months | 14 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 41 |
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | 23 | 7 | 7 | 46 5 | 32 | n.a | n.a | 65 |
Massachusetts1,2 |
Dec98-Mar99 | ~ 12 months | 53 6 | 20 7 | n.a | 71 | 27 | 27 | 9 | 42 |
Washington1 |
4Q97 | 6 - 8 months | 17 | 4 3 | 4 | 52 | n.a | 16 | 4 | 65 |
Cuyahoga County |
3Q98 | 14 - 21 months | 28 | 5 | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a | n.a |
1Calculated from public use data. |
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The variation in SSI receipt is lower, with between 4 and 12 percent of former recipients receiving this form of cash assistance in the nine studies reporting this benefit. Massachusetts reports a higher percentage (20 percent), but this includes Social Security and Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) receipt. For those studies reporting Social Security receipt separately, the combined SSI and Social Security percentages range from 8 percent (Washington) to 18 percent (Illinois and South Carolina). Since this income is generally for persons with a disability that prevents them from working, some leavers who are not working may be relying on this income rather than cash assistance from the TANF program.
Receipt of nutritional assistance programs such as reduced price or free school lunch and WIC are much more common, which likely reflects higher income thresholds for eligibility and easier eligibility processes, as well as widespread coverage among low-income children. Receipt of reduced-price or free school lunch varies from 27 percent in Arizona to 87 percent in Georgia. The percent of former recipient families receiving WIC generally ranges from one-quarter to one-third.
Four studies report fuel/energy assistance and five report unemployment compensation receipt. Fuel/energy assistance use ranges from 9 percent in DC to 27 percent in Massachusetts. This higher percentage for Massachusetts likely results from its harsher winters and therefore greater need for fuel assistance. Unemployment compensation use is very low, from 2 percent to 9 percent. These low rates may reflect the fact that many leavers do not have sufficiently high earnings or quarters of employment to be eligible for unemployment insurance.
A final source of public support is the federal EITC. Working families with relatively low earnings are eligible to receive this credit from the federal government.26 Seven studies report how many leavers received this credit. Results range from 32 percent in the Bay Area to 65 percent in Washington and Iowa (these percentages are for all leavers, not just working leavers). Arizona and Illinois also report that a higher percentage of leavers had heard of the EITC, 66 percent and 76 percent, respectively. Illinois probes further and finds that although three-quarters of leavers have heard of the EITC, only 47 percent say they know what it is, a percentage not much higher than those receiving the credit.
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Individual reports find differences in results when comparing across subgroups such as employed and not employed or sanctioned and not sanctioned. Two types of subgroup comparisons for program participation were included in enough reports to be discussed here employment status and race/ethnicity.
Examining receipt of government assistance by employment status provides information on the extent to which those who are employed are combining work with some form of public assistance. Generally, one would expect that those who are working are less likely to be receiving government benefits. It is also interesting to examine whether working leavers benefit receipt declines over time, which would be consistent with increasing wages and more stable employment. All the figures described in this section with the exception of South Carolina are calculated from the public use data files for these studies. This allows the report to present program participation by employment status when it is not reported in the published studies.
Program participation by employment status is examined both in administrative data and survey data. Public-use data files including administrative data on food stamps and Medicaid have been provided by two states, Arizona and Iowa. For both of these studies we compare those who have worked at some point since exit and those who have never worked since exit (Table IV.11). Across both these states and programs, 44 to 63 percent of leavers who have worked since exit receive food stamps or Medicaid in any given quarter after exit. A higher percentage, almost three-quarters, receive food stamps or Medicaid at some point during the year after exit. These higher figures indicate that among working leavers there is some cycling on and off non-TANF benefit programs. Because we are examining the group who worked at any point since exit (not necessarily continually), this benefit receipt could be connected to movement on and off TANF.
Program |
State/Study | Exit Cohort | Quarter Relative to Exit (%) | Receipt Any Time in Year After Exit | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||||
Food Stamps |
|||||||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | ||||||
Worked Since Exit |
55 | 49 | 48 | 44 | 71 | ||
Never Worked Since Exit |
44 | 39 | 39 | 37 | 57 | ||
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | ||||||
Worked Since Exit |
53 | 47 | 44 | 60 | 70 | ||
Never Worked Since Exit |
45 | 39 | 37 | 48 | 58 | ||
Medicaid |
|||||||
Arizona1 |
1Q98 | ||||||
Worked Since Exit |
63 | 58 | 52 | 48 | 76 | ||
Never Worked Since Exit |
51 | 45 | 44 | 39 | 63 | ||
Iowa1 |
2Q99 | ||||||
Worked Since Exit |
57 | 52 | 51 | 49 | 72 | ||
Never Worked Since Exit |
48 | 41 | 43 | 40 | 58 | ||
1Quarterly data calculated from public use
files. |
|||||||
The administrative data show that those who have never worked since exit are less likely to receive food stamps or Medicaid than those who have worked since exit. This is true in all quarters for Arizona and Iowa for both the food stamp and Medicaid programs. One possible explanation for this difference is that those who have never worked since exit are a heterogeneous group including leavers who have a working spouse or partner and may not qualify for benefits, as well as leavers who have few sources of income. Another possible explanation is that some leavers who do not show up as having earnings or food stamps in administrative databases have moved out of state or may have misspelled last names or missing social security numbers which hamper linkages to both earnings and food stamps databases. In fact, survey data discussed below show different results.
The administrative data can be used to examine the trend in participation over the four quarters for these subgroups. For those who worked at some point since exit and those who never worked since exit, both studies show a gradual decline in benefit receipt over the first three quarters. In Iowa, however, food stamp participation turns up sharply in the fourth post-exit quarter.
Another way of considering program participation by employment status is to examine current benefit receipt among those who are currently working or currently not working. Some of the studies with survey data allow us this comparison to be made. Six of the studies we information by employment status on receipt of food stamps, Medicaid, and SSI (Table IV.12). Program participation for food stamps and Medicaid is almost always higher for those not currently employed compared to those currently employed. The only exception is Massachusetts, where 80 percent of those not currently employed have Medicaid compared with 83 percent of those currently employed. While many of the differences are modest, in the District of Columbia the difference in benefit receipt by current employment status is quite large. Figure IV.6 illustrates the differences in food stamp receipt between leavers who are currently employed and not currently employed.
Program |
State/Study | Exit Cohort | Timing of Survey Post Exit | Currently Employed | Not Currently Employed | Never Worked Since Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Food Stamps |
Arizona |
1Q98 | 12-18 months | 30 | 38 | 40 |
District of Columbia2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 26 | 69 | 59 | |
Iowa3,4 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | 36 | 41 | 49 | |
Massachusetts2 |
Dec.1998-Mar.1999 | ~10 months | 33 | 36 | 55 | |
South Carolina2 |
Oct.1998-Mar.1999 | 12 months | 49 | 72 | n.a. | |
Washington4 |
Oct-98 | 6-8 months | 44 | 50 | 56 | |
Medicaid |
Arizona |
1Q98 | 12-18 months | 27 | 29 | 36 |
District of Columbia2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 41 | 72 | 75 | |
Iowa2,3 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | 37 | 46 | 52 | |
Massachusetts2 |
Dec.1998-Mar.1999 | ~10 months | 83 | 80 | 92 | |
South Carolina2 |
Oct.1998-Mar.1999 | 12 months | 82 | 83 | n.a. | |
Washington |
Oct-98 | 6-8 months | 52 | 56 | 57 | |
SSI |
Arizona |
1Q98 | 12-18 months | 11 | 10 | 18 |
District of Columbia2 |
4Q98 | ~ 12 months | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
Iowa2,3 |
2Q99 | 8 - 12 months | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
Massachusetts2,5 |
Dec.1998-Mar.1999 | ~10 months | 17 | 19 | 27 | |
South Carolina2,6 |
Oct.1998-Mar.1999 | 12 months | 6 | 15 | n.a. | |
Washington |
Oct-98 | 6-8 months | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
1All figures except South Carolina calculated
from public use data files. |
||||||
Figure IV.6:
Food Stamp Receipt of Welfare Leavers by Employment Status
Notes: See table IV.12 for more information.
Table IV.12 also shows results for those who have never worked since exit. Leavers who never worked since exit are more likely to receive food stamps and Medicaid than currently employed leavers. In several studies these differences are quite large. In addition, in almost all of the studies, those who have never worked since exit are more likely to receive benefits than those who are not currently employed. This suggests that those who have never worked since exit are more dependent on government benefits than leavers who have worked at some point since exit. These survey results might differ from the administrative results because they measure receipt in a specific month, versus receipt at any time over a quarter. If there is a great deal of movement on and off benefit programs, as is likely more true for those working at any point since exit than those never working since exit, receipt at some point during a quarter will be higher than receipt in a given month27
Finally, examination of SSI receipt by employment status shows that a relatively high percentage of those who have never worked since exit are receiving this form of cash assistance. The percentages range from 8 percent in Washington to 27 percent in Massachusetts (which includes SSDI and Social Security benefits). That these numbers are relatively high for those who have never worked is not surprising since SSI requires that recipients have a disability that prevents work. However, the majority of former recipients that have not worked since exit are not receiving disability benefits.
Five studies report some information on the participation of leavers in TANF, food stamps, or Medicaid in the year after exit by race and ethnicity (Table IV.13). For the most part, the share of black leavers receiving these forms of government assistance in the year after exit is higher than the share of white and other racial/ethnic group leavers.
| Race/Ethnicity Group | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black | White | Hispanic | Other1 | |
Returns to TANF in Year After Exit (%) |
||||
Arizona2 |
33 | 21 | 30 | 40 |
Florida |
32 | 22 | 22 | 16 |
Georgia |
23 | 13 | n.a. | 10 |
Missouri3,4 |
32 | 27 | n.a. | n.a. |
South Carolina5 |
8 | 6 | n.a. | n.a. |
Receipt of Food Stamps in Year After Exit (%) |
||||
Arizona2 |
70 | 62 | 71 | 69 |
Florida |
73 | 63 | 55 | 50 |
Missouri3,4 |
72 | 69 | n.a. | n.a. |
Adult Covered by Medicaid in Year After Exit (%) |
||||
Arizona2 |
75 | 68 | 77 | 70 |
Florida |
78 | 69 | 70 | 63 |
Missouri3,4 |
37 | 44 | n.a. | n.a. |
1Other includes Asain/Pacific Islander,
Native American, and other groups unless otherwise specified. |
||||
In all five studies, the percentage of black leavers who return to TANF at some point in the year after exit is higher than the percentage of white leavers who return to TANF. The difference ranges from 2 percentage points in South Carolina (8 percent of black leavers compared with 6 percent of white leavers) to 12 percentage points in
Arizona (33 percent of black leavers compared with 21 percent of white leavers). The two studies reporting results for Hispanic leavers, Arizona and Florida, show mixed results. In Arizona, returns to welfare among Hispanic leavers (30 percent) are closer to those of black leavers than to those of white leavers. Returns for Native American leavers are even higher, at 40 percent. However, the percentage of Hispanic leavers returning to TANF in Florida (22 percent) is the same as for white leavers. The other category in Florida and Georgia show very low returns to TANF, 16 and 10 percent respectively, but these groups are very small percentages of the entire group of leavers in each study.
Leaver subgroups with higher returns to TANF tend to have higher participation in food stamps and Medicaid. The percentage of black leavers receiving food stamps and the percentage covered by Medicaid in the year after exit are for the most part higher than the percentage of white leavers receiving these benefits. The differences in receipt between these two groups ranges from 3 to 10 percentage points. The exception is in Missouri, where fewer nonwhite leavers have Medicaid coverage than white leavers. The pattern for Hispanic leavers follows the pattern of returns to TANF: in Florida, fewer Hispanic leavers receive these benefits than blacks, and in Arizona, more Hispanic leavers receive these benefits than blacks.
It is not surprising that receipt of food stamps and Medicaid is generally higher for racial and ethnic leaver groups that have higher rates of return to TANF. Receipt of these benefits is likely easier for those who are currently receiving TANF than for former recipients. However, it is somewhat surprising that black leavers have a higher rate of return to TANF than white leavers in light of results described in an earlier chapter showing black leavers tend to have higher employment and earnings than white leavers.28 This may reflect differences in the reason for leaving across groups. If black recipients are more likely to leave for employment than white recipients and employment leads to less permanent transitions than other reasons (such as marriage) then employment rates and returns to TANF could be higher for black leavers. We do not have evidence on the differences across race and ethnic groups in the reasons for leaving TANF.
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Receiving non-TANF government assistance can help families in their transition from welfare to work. Despite the availability of these supports, about a quarter to a third of families who left welfare returned to TANF at some point in the first year after exit. About half of leaver families receive food stamps in the first quarter after exit and two-thirds receive this benefit at some point in the year after exit. About 60 percent of families have an adult enrolled in Medicaid in the first quarter after exit. Medicaid coverage of children is generally higher, ranging from 78 to 90 percent at some point in the year after exit. Participation in both of these programs is generally lower for continuous leaver families. Several studies also report on additional sources of government assistance, such as housing assistance, disability benefits, reduced-price lunches, WIC, fuel/energy assistance, unemployment compensation, and the Earned Income Tax Credit.
Program participation also varies by work status and race/ethnicity. In general, workers are less likely to receive non-TANF government assistance than non-workers, and black leavers are generally more likely to return to TANF and to participate in food stamps and Medicaid than white leavers.
18Some studies report quarterly information (receipt
at some point within a three-month period) and some present monthly information
(receipt in a particular month). Studies reporting quarterly information
will report a higher percentage than if they reported a monthly number. For
example, the New York study shows that 17 percent of original exiters were
receiving TANF in the twelfth month after leaving, but 19 percent received
at some point in the fourth quarter after leaving. To increase comparability,
we have included calculations of quarterly data from public use data files
where possible. All tables in this chapter indicate whether numbers reported
are monthly or quarterly.
19Recall that most of these studies require that
a family remain off welfare for at least two months to be considered a leaver.
This common leaver definition may contribute to the similar, low return rates
across some sites in the first quarter after exit.
20Arizona and Missouri also have less then 5
year benefit time limits but allow the child's portion of the grant to continue.
These families would not be included as leavers under the definition used
in Arizona and no families had reached the time limit in Missouri at the
time of the study.
21Food stamp receipt in the Bay Area study is
the combination of non-TANF food stamp receipt and the percentage of families
who have returned to TANF. These numbers are likely lower in part because
they are monthly reports, not quarterly.
22Iowa shows a large increase in food stamps
receipt from the third to fourth quarter, of 42 percent to 56 percent. As
was the case with the large declines in fourth quarter employment data, it
is unclear why such a large increase is shown here. We see no large increase
for returns to TANF or, as we shall see, Medicaid participation in the fourth
quarter.
23A number of states also have programs that
extend public coverage to children at higher income levels through the State
Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). While this coverage sometimes
goes by names other than Medicaid, we are including it under Medicaid here.
24The health insurance results for children are
discussed later in the child well-being section of this report.
25District of Columbia reports results for both
time of the survey and since exit.
26As of 2000, six study areas had state EITCs:
District of Columbia, Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, New York, and Wisconsin.
27Also, as discussed on the previous page, some
of the administrative results for those coded as non-working non-recipients
of food stamps may be due to difficulties in tracing certain individuals
in administrative databases.
28Similar findings are reported and discussed
in Lower-Basch (2000).
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